Penafiel sit 1st in the Segunda Liga on 22 points from 10 matches, having scored 22 and conceded 10. On the model's scale they rate 0.85 in attack and 1.48 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Segunda Liga averages of 0.65 and 1.55: above the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 4 wins and 1 defeat, most recently beating Chaves 3-2 away. That is 2.20 points a match, scoring 2.20 and conceding 1.00 per game across 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. They lead the 18-team table, level on points with Sporting CP B. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 1st-best attack and the 7th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Lusitânia Lourosa in the Segunda Liga on 15 November 2026, a match the model gives them 55%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penafiel | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 | +12 | WLWWW | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | LWWWD | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | WWDWW | 20 |
| 4 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | +6 | WDDDL | 19 |
| 5 | União de Leiria | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | DLDWW | 17 |
| 6 | Academica | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | LWWLD | 16 |
| 7 | Tondela | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | WWLWD | 16 |
| 8 | Farense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | WWLDL | 15 |
| 9 | Vizela | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | DLLWD | 15 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | LWLDW | 14 |
| 11 | AVS | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | DWWLD | 13 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | DLLLD | 11 |
| 13 | Torreense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | DLWDL | 10 |
| 14 | Amarante | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | DLLWD | 9 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | LLDLD | 8 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | DWDLL | 8 |
| 17 | Chaves | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | LDWLL | 8 |
| 18 | Feirense | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3:11 | -8 | LLDLW | 5 |
- Promotion to Liga Portugal
- Relegation
Penafiel sit 1 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W3-2away to Chaves7 November 2026
- W1-0Feirense2 November 2026
- W4-1away to Farense24 October 2026
- L1-2AVS9 October 2026
- W2-1away to Felgueiras 193212 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa
Penafiel host Lusitânia Lourosa at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel on 15 November 2026, 15:30 UTC. The model makes it 55% Penafiel, 23% draw and 22% Lusitânia Lourosa, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 2.16 expected goals for Penafiel against 1.19. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Full preview and model analysis for Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa
Recent meetings with Lusitânia Lourosa
- 16 February 2026Penafiel 2–0 Lusitânia LourosaSegunda Liga
- 13 September 2025Lusitânia Lourosa 0–0 PenafielSegunda Liga
The last 2 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Penafiel
-
Lusitânia Lourosa v Vizela · 29 November 2026
Penafiel fans want a draw: that leaves Penafiel's chance to finish top of the regular season at 37.7%, against 34.4% if Lusitânia Lourosa win (35.3% today).
Lusitânia Lourosa win34.4%−0.9Draw37.7%+2.4Vizela win36.2%+0.9 -
AVS v Leixoes · 28 November 2026
Penafiel fans want Leixoes to win: that leaves Penafiel's chance to finish top of the regular season at 37.5%, against 35.0% if AVS win (35.3% today).
AVS win35.0%−0.3Draw35.6%+0.3Leixoes win37.5%+2.2 -
Chaves v Tondela · 28 November 2026
Penafiel fans want Chaves to win: that leaves Penafiel's chance to finish top of the regular season at 35.9%, against 33.6% after a draw (35.3% today).
Chaves win35.9%+0.6Draw33.6%−1.7Tondela win35.4%+0.1
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Penafiel's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.