Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1 Al-Hazm.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Al-Ahli Jeddah, 29% draw, 23% Al-Hazm — fair odds of 2.08, 3.45 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Ahli Jeddah at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16E. MendyG
- 15S. BaattiaD
- 28M. DemiralD
- 3IbanezD
- 2Z. Al HawsawiD
- 6V. AtanganaM
- 7TrincaoM
- 47S. Abu Al ShamatM
- 8E. SpertsyanM
- 13GalenoM
- 17I. ToneyF
- 1A. Al SanbiG
- 5M. SulaimanD
- 31S. BalobaidD
- 46R. HamidouD
- 11M. Al MutairiM
- 29M. AbdulrahmanD
- 25F. FallatahM
- 9F. Al BuraikanF
- 21A. RadifF
- 23I. ZaiedG
- 2S. Al RashidD
- 13A. Al ShanqitiD
- 4S. TunkarD
- 27A. Al NakhliD
- 17B. MugishaM
- 24A. BahM
- 70A. Al ShamraniM
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 7E. AcolatseM
- 29A. DiakiteF
- 36J. StanekG
- 82A. Al HarbiD
- 95J. AteeqD
- 8M. KonateM
- 98A. Al Hujaili
- 10A. SayoudM
- 5M. Al Yami
- 11W. Al ShanqitiF
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
Form going into Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm
Al-Ahli Jeddah
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Al-Qadisiyah FC8 September 2026
- W5-0Al Riyadh4 September 2026
- L0-3away to Al-Hilal1 September 2026
- L1-3away to Al Kholood29 August 2026
Al-Hazm
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Al Taawon8 September 2026
- D0-0away to Al-Faisaly FC5 September 2026
- D1-1Al Shabab30 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for Al-Ahli Jeddah had three goals or more.
- Al-Ahli Jeddah failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Al-Ahli Jeddah scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 21 |
| 14 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Hazm
Al-Ahli Jeddah
GoalsAssists
- I. Toney132
- Trincão63
Al-Hazm
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al-Hazm 3–1. The model had made a win for Al-Ahli Jeddah its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Al Nakhli 2' for Al-Hazm, Trincao 21' for Al-Ahli Jeddah, I. Toney (penalty) 32' for Al-Ahli Jeddah, I. Toney 45' for Al-Ahli Jeddah. On expected goals it finished 5.78–1.78.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.