Pisa vs Virtus Entella Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Pisa 1-4 Virtus Entella.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Pisa, 27% draw, 22% Virtus Entella — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Pisa at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pisa vs Virtus Entella
Line-ups
- 98A. ConfenteG
- 33A. CalabresiD
- 5S. CanestrelliD
- 26F. CoppolaD
- 3S. AngoriD
- 21İ. VuralM
- 55G. LeoneM
- 29O. CorreiaM
- 7M. LérisF
- 37A. PetagnaF
- 10M. TramoniF
- 17E. RaoF
- 1S. ScuffetG
- 22L. LoriaG
- 44D. DenoonD
- 4A. CaraccioloD
- 11I. FerrahM
- 36G. PiccininiM
- 14F. LoyolaD
- 72S. ZanonM
- 22F. Del FrateG
- 23L. ParodiD
- 27M. AlborghettiD
- 15I. MarconiD
- 8L. VignaliM
- 24A. FranzoniM
- 5N. SquizzatoM
- 80L. BenedettiM
- 26Stefano Di MarioM
- 10L. CupponeF
- 11Bernat GuiuF
- 6A. TiritielloD
- 16R. TuricchiaM
- 32F. ForteF
- 9Giacomo CoronaF
- 91S. ColombiG
- 18T. AnnoniM
- 55Lucas FelippeM
- 70Marwane KrittaD
- 3N. PrevitaliD
Form going into Pisa vs Virtus Entella
Pisa
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Juve Stabia6 September 2026
- W2-1Catanzaro30 August 2026
- L0-1Padova23 August 2026
Virtus Entella
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Vicenza Virtus6 September 2026
- L1-2Cesena29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sudtirol22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pisa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 16 |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pisa vs Virtus Entella
- 30 July 2022Pisa 2–0 Virtus EntellaFriendlies Clubs
- 10 May 2021Pisa 3–2 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- 22 January 2021Virtus Entella 2–1 PisaSerie B
- 27 October 2020Virtus Entella 3–1 PisaCoppa Italia
- 13 July 2020Virtus Entella 1–1 PisaSerie B
- 8 December 2019Pisa 0–2 Virtus EntellaSerie B
Leading scorers: Pisa and Virtus Entella
Pisa
GoalsAssists
- F. Pittarello41
- M. Tramoni35
- T. Marras31
Virtus Entella
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Virtus Entella won 4–1 at Pisa. The model had leaned towards a win for Pisa at 51% and given a win for Virtus Entella 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Bernat Guiu 2' for Virtus Entella, Luigi Cuppone 32' for Virtus Entella, Andrea Franzoni 45+2' for Virtus Entella, Omar Correia 73' for Pisa, M Tirelli 80' for Virtus Entella. Sent off: Mehdi Léris (Pisa) 35'.