Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Riyadh Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Khaleej Saihat 0-0 Al Riyadh.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Al Khaleej Saihat, 28% draw, 27% Al Riyadh — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al Khaleej Saihat at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Riyadh
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 49A. MorisG
- 39S. Al HamsalD
- 4K. KouyateD
- 3M. Al KhabraniD
- 5P. RebochoD
- 8O. MascarellM
- 18N. Al SaadiM
- 12M. KanabahM
- 19M. CrespoM
- 10A. FulginiM
- 90T. Al KhaibriF
- 96M. Al HaidariG
- 13A. AsiriD
- 17A. Al HafithD
- 14A. Al ShaafiD
- 29R. Al ShanqitiD
- 15M. HamziF
- 99M. BarrowF
- 28H. Al EisaF
- 11S. Al AmriF
- 82M. BorjanG
- 2S. Al EssaD
- 67M. Al KhaibariD
- 26R. AbascalD
- 12S. HazaziD
- 6K. KeitaM
- 10T. OkouM
- 22V. LekhalM
- 19H. Al ShurafaM
- 14H. A. Bahri E.M
- 7TrezeguetF
- 97E. FidaG
- 5H. MajrashiD
- 13O. Al BoardiD
- 16F. Al SobhiM
- 79F. Al JayzaniM
- 11H. Al Ali
- 17H. Al RaqwaniF
- 29S. MatarM
- 24A. Al TaleM
Form going into Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Riyadh
Al Khaleej Saihat
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to NEOM3 September 2026
Al Riyadh
All competitions we cover
- L0-5away to Al-Ahli Jeddah4 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Khaleej Saihat and Al Riyadh
Al Khaleej Saihat
GoalsAssists
- J. King50
Al Riyadh
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al Riyadh drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Khaleej Saihat at 45% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.50–0.32.
How the call on Al Khaleej Saihat v Al Riyadh has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 45% / 28% / 27%: the biggest move is Al Khaleej Saihat's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Al Khaleej Saihat win45%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Al Riyadh win27%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.