Al Nasr vs Ajman Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Nasr 1-2 Ajman.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Al Nasr, 26% draw, 28% Ajman — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All UAE Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al Nasr at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Nasr vs Ajman
Line-ups
- 12Ahmed ShambihG
- 24Zayed SultanD
- 4GláuberD
- 22M. HøibråtenD
- 55D. PetrovićD
- 8M. MarinM
- 7K. AgudeloM
- 70A. HrustićM
- 57I. FaizM
- 10M. GhaediM
- 9C. BediaF
- 2Salem SultanD
- 21Abdulla IdreesD
- 5Mohammad AbdulbasitM
- 77N. ChadliF
- 37S. SalemG
- 17Wesley DelgadoF
- 30João MoreiraD
- 38Moussa NdiayeM
- 6H. MahdiM
- 81A. Al HosaniG
- 12Mohamed NasserD
- 5G. ZajkovD
- 44Yuri MatiasD
- 31Y. JabriD
- 17S. GassamaM
- 8Jobson Souza SantosM
- 18I. MoumenM
- 7LourencyM
- 33LithierryF
- 9W. AzaroF
- 4S. SulimanD
- 99Victor HenriqueF
- 48Saad El HadaniM
- 22Vitor VargasD
- 14F. Ben NjimaD
- 23Ahmed Al ZeyoudiD
- 40A. R. Al ShammariG
- 11Abdulla AbdelazizM
- 3A. SalehD
Form going into Al Nasr vs Ajman
Al Nasr
Pro League
- L1-2away to Al Ain29 August 2026
Ajman
Pro League
- L0-3away to Al-Jazira29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
United Arab Emirates Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Nasr | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Ajman | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Nasr and Ajman
Al Nasr
GoalsAssists
- R. Mierez21
- K. Agudelo20
Ajman
GoalsAssists
- Victor Henrique31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ajman won 2–1 at Al Nasr. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Nasr at 46% and given a win for Ajman 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ajdin Hrustic 26' for Al Nasr, Walid Azarou 65' for Ajman, Saad El Hadani 73' for Ajman.
How the call on Al Nasr v Ajman has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 52% / 25% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 46% / 26% / 28%: the biggest move is Al Nasr's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Al Nasr win46%▼ −6
- Draw26%▲ +1
- Ajman win28%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.