Panathinaikos vs PAOK Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Panathinaikos 3-1 PAOK.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Panathinaikos, 28% draw, 36% PAOK — fair odds of 2.78, 3.57 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Panathinaikos at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panathinaikos vs PAOK
Line-ups
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 2D. CalabriaD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. van DrongelenD
- 77G. KiriakopoulosD
- 22E. CamaraM
- 42K. KangwaM
- 20V. TabordaM
- 99L. GarcíaM
- 10Santino AndinoM
- 7A. TettehF
- 9C. DessersF
- 12L. ChavesG
- 8Adriano JagušićM
- 3Georgios Marios KatrisD
- 18S. KontourisM
- 70K. KotsarisG
- 26I. LouzaM
- 21A. OunahiM
- 14E. Palmer-BrownD
- 1J. PavlenkaG
- 3J. KennyD
- 6ElustondoD
- 5G. MichailidisD
- 13D. GiannoulisD
- 20C. ZafeirisM
- 7B. SantamaríaM
- 14A. ŽivkovićM
- 10D. PelkasM
- 22T. AliM
- 27C. NdiayeF
- 2M. CamaraM
- 21A. BabaD
- 11TaisonF
- 97D. BataoulasD
- 52D. ChatsidisF
- 41D. MonastirlisG
- 56A. MythouF
- 47S. ShoretireF
- 25K. ThymianisD
Form going into Panathinaikos vs PAOK
Panathinaikos
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Levadiakos31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Hradec Králové27 August 2026
- D2-2Hradec Králové20 August 2026
- W2-1away to CSKA 194811 August 2026
- D1-1CSKA 19485 August 2026
PAOK
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Atromitos30 August 2026
- L2-3away to Brann27 August 2026
- W4-0Levadiakos23 August 2026
- D1-1Brann20 August 2026
- L2-3away to Anderlecht13 August 2026
What these results say
- Panathinaikos went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- PAOK scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- PAOK conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for PAOK had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 27 |
| 4 | PAOK | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs PAOK
- 17 May 2026Panathinaikos 2–2 PAOKSuper League 1
- 5 April 2026PAOK 0–0 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 11 February 2026PAOK 2–0 PanathinaikosCup
- 4 February 2026Panathinaikos 0–1 PAOKCup
- 21 December 2025PAOK 2–0 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and PAOK
Panathinaikos
GoalsAssists
- A. Tetteh51
- C. Dessers40
- V. Taborda31
PAOK
GoalsAssists
- C. Ndiaye40
- A. Živković35
- D. Pelkas30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Panathinaikos beat PAOK 3–1. The goals: Vicente Taborda 29' for Panathinaikos, Andrews Tetteh 38' for Panathinaikos, Andrews Tetteh 52' for Panathinaikos, Ognjen ugresic 90+2' for PAOK. Sent off: Aritz Elustondo (PAOK) 15', Cyriel Dessers (Panathinaikos) 69'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.