Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Mlada Boleslav 4-0 Baník Ostrava.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Mlada Boleslav, 28% draw, 28% Baník Ostrava — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Mlada Boleslav at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava
Line-ups
- 59J. FloderG
- 13D. DonatD
- 44O. KarafiatD
- 3M. KralikD
- 11M. HybsD
- 77D. PechM
- 20S. JohnM
- 76J. Zika
- 28D. LanghamerM
- 21M. Subert
- 23J. KlimaF
- 47M. ObdrzalekG
- 42V. VorelG
- 32F. MatousekD
- 26M. ZachovalD
- 24D. MaresD
- 38F. KolarD
- 49J. KolarikM
- 9L. LetenayF
- 70J. BuryanF
- 23M. JedlickaG
- 44Y. Skyba
- 83R. NoghaD
- 42J. MicekD
- 5J. BoulaM
- 34A. BeweneM
- 18D. PlankaM
- 28F. KubalaM
- 95D. HolzerM
- 22V. SkrkonF
- 15V. JureckaF
- 1V. BudinskyG
- 17M. FrydrychD
- 37M. ChalusD
- 16M. DyachukD
- 81M. KmetD
- 55A. MusakM
- 7D. GilbertM
- 19F. SanclM
- 8A. TraoreM
Form going into Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Slovácko22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Pardubice15 August 2026
- W2-0Sparta Praha8 August 2026
- D2-2away to Sigma Olomouc2 August 2026
- W4-2away to Artis27 July 2026
Baník Ostrava
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Sigma Olomouc29 August 2026
- W1-0Artis16 August 2026
- L1-2away to Hradec Králové9 August 2026
- L0-4Slavia Praha1 August 2026
- W1-0away to Zlin25 July 2026
What these results say
- Mlada Boleslav went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Mlada Boleslav scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Mlada Boleslav conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Baník Ostrava scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava
- 2 May 2026Baník Ostrava 0–0 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 22 February 2026Baník Ostrava 0–0 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 21 September 2025Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
- 9 March 2025Baník Ostrava 2–1 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 6 October 2024Mlada Boleslav 0–0 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Mlada Boleslav and Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
GoalsAssists
- M. Šubert71
- J. Klíma41
Baník Ostrava
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mlada Boleslav beat Baník Ostrava 4–0. The model had made a win for Mlada Boleslav its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Martin Šubert 10' for Mlada Boleslav, Martin Šubert 20' for Mlada Boleslav, Solomon John 52' for Mlada Boleslav, Josef Kolarik 83' for Mlada Boleslav.
How the call on Mlada Boleslav v Baník Ostrava has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 29% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 28% / 28%: the biggest move is Mlada Boleslav's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Mlada Boleslav win44%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Baník Ostrava win28%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.