Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Rayyan SC 3-0 Al Ahli Doha.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Al-Rayyan SC, 29% draw, 27% Al Ahli Doha — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al-Rayyan SC at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha
Line-ups
- 57Mahmud AbunadaG
- 8Jassem GaberD
- 13André AmaroD
- 5David GarcíaD
- 12Ahmed Al MinhaliD
- 31D. AmaroM
- 11Gabriel PereiraM
- 40GregoreM
- 25OtávioM
- 10Róger GuedesM
- 30Ahmed Alaa EldinF
- 22Ahmed Al GanehiF
- 23S. BeldiG
- 3Hazem ShehataD
- 35Sami MazenG
- 4J. De SartM
- 33D. DiakiteD
- 17Youssef AymanD
- 6Abdulaziz HatemM
- 19Ahmed Al RawiF
- 13Mohamed LinglizG
- 41Ahmed ReyedD
- 5W. Troost-EkongD
- 88A. AmraouiD
- 12Ghanem Al MinhaliD
- 8Talal Al ShilaM
- 33D. FettouhiM
- 77Ismaeel MohammadM
- 27B. BourigeaudM
- 7J. DraxlerM
- 14M. VlapF
- 53Saleh Ahmed QassemG
- 16R. TihiD
- 23N. SlitiF
- 49Z. SassiD
- 11Suhaib GannanF
- 6Luiz CearáM
- 15Mohammed Abdulla Al-IshaqM
- 20Hamad MansourM
- 70Younis AbdelrahmanF
Form going into Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha
Al-Rayyan SC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Al-Duhail SC5 September 2026
Al Ahli Doha
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Qatar SC3 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Rayyan SC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 21 |
| 7 | Al Ahli Doha | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Rayyan SC and Al Ahli Doha
Al-Rayyan SC
GoalsAssists
- Róger Guedes62
- Ahmed Alaa Eldin50
- Gabriel Pereira33
Al Ahli Doha
GoalsAssists
- N. Sliti32
- Erik Expósito31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Rayyan SC beat Al Ahli Doha 3–0. The model had made a win for Al-Rayyan SC its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ahmed Alaaeldin 25' for Al-Rayyan SC, Róger Guedes 36' for Al-Rayyan SC, Róger Guedes 73' for Al-Rayyan SC.
How the call on Al-Rayyan SC v Al Ahli Doha has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 46% / 29% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 44% / 29% / 27%: the biggest move is Al-Rayyan SC's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Al-Rayyan SC win44%▼ −2
- Draw29%=
- Al Ahli Doha win27%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.