Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Sailiya 3-6 Al Sadd.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Al-Sailiya, 27% draw, 44% Al Sadd — fair odds of 3.45, 3.70 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al Sadd at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 9 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd
Line-ups
- 1B. BurkeG
- 2Abdulla Mahmoud MahmoudD
- 55K. van der KaapD
- 15M. NaniD
- 4Majed MohammedD
- 25R. DanzabeM
- 8Ahmed DoozandehM
- 9Ali OlwanM
- 20Y. BelhandaM
- 21A. El GhaziM
- 19Abdulaziz Al BakriF
- 11Hadi Ali TabasidehF
- 7Mohab Mohammed EissaM
- 77Mouz Gadelseed AbdallaD
- 6M. Al BustamiM
- 31M. Al BustamiG
- 17M. NormannM
- 18Awab HussainD
- 14A. MitwaliD
- 5Abdulrahman MohamedM
- 1Saad Al SheebG
- 2Pedro MiguelD
- 5Tarek SalmanD
- 26A. RomagnoliD
- 6Paulo OtávioD
- 80A. SoriaM
- 33ClaudinhoM
- 23Hashim AliM
- 9Roberto FirminoM
- 30Akram AfifM
- 17Mohamed Al ManaiF
- 12Y. AbdurisagF
- 10Hassan Al HaydosF
- 13Abdullah Al YazidiF
- 31Yousef Abdulla BaliadehG
- 22Meshaal BarshamG
- 3Y. El HannachD
- 7Mohammed WaadM
- 16Boualem KhoukhiD
- 14Mostafa MeshaalM
Form going into Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd
Al-Sailiya
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Al-Arabi SC3 September 2026
- L2-3away to Al Shahaniya29 August 2026
Al Sadd
All competitions we cover
- W4-1Al-Gharafa5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 1 |
| 3 | Al Sadd | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 18 | +16 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Sailiya and Al Sadd
Al-Sailiya
No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Al Sadd
GoalsAssists
- Akram Afif86
- Roberto Firmino84
- Giovani33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Sadd won 6–3 at Al-Sailiya. The model had made a win for Al Sadd its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Akram Afif 19' for Al Sadd, Ali Olwan 35' for Al-Sailiya, Hashim Ali 45+3' for Al Sadd, Roberto Firmino (penalty) 50' for Al Sadd, Ahmed Doozandeh 58' for Al-Sailiya, Roberto Firmino 62' for Al Sadd, Akram Afif 75' for Al Sadd, Mostafa Mashaal 90+5' for Al Sadd, Ali Olwan 90+10' for Al-Sailiya.
How the call on Al-Sailiya v Al Sadd has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 33% / 27% / 40% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 29% / 27% / 44%: the biggest move is Al-Sailiya's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Al-Sailiya win29%▼ −4
- Draw27%=
- Al Sadd win44%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.