Benevento vs Hellas Verona Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Benevento 3-1 Hellas Verona.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Benevento, 30% draw, 37% Hellas Verona — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Hellas Verona at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Benevento vs Hellas Verona
Line-ups
- 26G. VannucchiG
- 77E. PierozziD
- 14S. ScognamilloD
- 23P. SaioD
- 17L. SernicolaD
- 6A. SiatounisM
- 8M. MaitaM
- 28C. KouanM
- 11D. LamestaM
- 29D. OkerekeM
- 9F. SalveminiF
- 5L. CaldirolaD
- 10L. CherubiniF
- 15C. Dalle MuraD
- 80M. DonatielloM
- 22M. EspositoG
- 16Mattia ManniniD
- 32G. MignaniF
- 21E. SchimmentiM
- 96A. SyllaG
- 1N. LealiG
- 4G. ZappaD
- 48S. KoračD
- 5A. EdmundssonD
- 6D. BradarićD
- 44E. IannoniM
- 24A. BernedeM
- 17A. Le BorgneM
- 11M. CompagnonF
- 19S. MulattieriF
- 9A. SarrF
- 35S. CerboneF
- 37N. CalabreseD
- 70F. ChamD
- 27P. DawidowiczD
- 71D. De BattistiD
- 21A. HarrouiM
- 20G. KastanosM
- 23N. LellaM
- 34S. PerilliG
Form going into Benevento vs Hellas Verona
Benevento
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Ascoli5 September 2026
- D1-1Sudtirol30 August 2026
- L1-2Modena22 August 2026
Hellas Verona
All competitions we cover
- W5-0Arezzo6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Padova29 August 2026
- L1-2Ascoli23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Benevento | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Benevento vs Hellas Verona
- 3 March 2021Benevento 0–3 Hellas VeronaSerie A
- 2 November 2020Hellas Verona 3–1 BeneventoSerie A
- 22 April 2019Hellas Verona 0–3 BeneventoSerie B
- 9 December 2018Benevento 0–1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
- 4 April 2018Benevento 3–0 Hellas VeronaSerie A
- 16 October 2017Hellas Verona 1–0 BeneventoSerie A
Leading scorers: Benevento and Hellas Verona
Benevento
GoalsAssists
- A. Siatounis40
Hellas Verona
GoalsAssists
- D. Mosquera70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Benevento beat Hellas Verona 3–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Hellas Verona at 37% and given a win for Benevento 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Edoardo·Pierozzi 17' for Benevento, Amin Sarr 24' for Hellas Verona, David Okereke 59' for Benevento, Davide Lamesta 65' for Benevento.