Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Aldosivi 1-0 Atletico Tucuman.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Aldosivi, 29% draw, 33% Atletico Tucuman — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Aldosivi at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 42L. AcostaG
- 14E. LopezD
- 25N. BreitenbruchD
- 32J. PomboD
- 13B. CufreD
- 8M. GarciaM
- 5N. LinaresM
- 19L. CastroM
- 10N. GaitanM
- 27T. FernandezF
- 9N. CorderoF
- 23I. ChiccoG
- 2L. SigaliD
- 28S. MoyaD
- 33N. ZalazarD
- 17F. LaurelliD
- 4R. GonzalezD
- 15F. PerruzziM
- 16B. DadinF
- 7N. GuzmanF
- 1L. IngolottiG
- 24L. Di PlacidoD
- 6G. FerrariD
- 36L. VallejoD
- 21I. GalvanD
- 19L. VegaM
- 11R. TesuriM
- 5J. FernandezM
- 31L. GodoyM
- 23N. LamendolaM
- 9L. DiazF
- 25T. DursoG
- 17J. RodriguezD
- 3M. VillaD
- 32J. InfanteD
- 27R. GranilloF
- 8E. HamM
- 28G. CompagnucciD
- 34M. Carrizo
- 14A. CaneloF
Form going into Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman
Aldosivi
All competitions we cover
- L3-4away to Independiente Rivadavia12 September 2026
- W3-1Banfield5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors30 August 2026
- L1-3Union Santa Fe21 August 2026
- D0-0Tigre15 August 2026
Atletico Tucuman
All competitions we cover
- L1-2River Plate12 September 2026
- W2-1away to Racing Club7 September 2026
- D0-0Belgrano Cordoba30 August 2026
- D0-0Instituto Cordoba22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto17 August 2026
What these results say
- Aldosivi failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Aldosivi scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Aldosivi conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
| 11 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman
- 12 March 2026Atletico Tucuman 1–1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 16 July 2022Aldosivi 0–1 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 August 2021Atletico Tucuman 2–2 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 26 August 2019Aldosivi 3–0 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
The result against the call
Aldosivi beat Atletico Tucuman 1–0. The model had made a win for Aldosivi its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: T. Fernandez 56' for Aldosivi. On expected goals it finished 1.04–0.67.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.