Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Hellas Verona 2-1 Vicenza Virtus.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Hellas Verona, 26% draw, 22% Vicenza Virtus — fair odds of 1.92, 3.85 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Hellas Verona at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus
Line-ups
- 1N. LealiG
- 4G. ZappaD
- 48S. KoračD
- 27P. DawidowiczD
- 71D. De BattistiD
- 17A. Le BorgneM
- 44E. IannoniM
- 23N. LellaM
- 10T. SuslovM
- 9A. SarrM
- 19S. MulattieriF
- 35S. CerboneF
- 37N. CalabreseD
- 70F. ChamD
- 5A. EdmundssonD
- 21A. HarrouiM
- 20G. KastanosM
- 25D. MosqueraF
- 34S. PerilliG
- 14D. LivramentoF
- 16R. GagnoG
- 14G. CuomoD
- 23N. BrighentiD
- 5R. MarchizzaD
- 28L. CaferriM
- 29L. ZontaM
- 8A. BellemoM
- 24Filippo AlessioM
- 32F. CostaM
- 7N. RautiF
- 33S. MerkajF
- 4M. CarraroM
- 21T. CorazzaD
- 6M. LeverbeD
- 11G. MonciniF
- 9C. MorraF
- 66A. PapettiD
- 99A. PietrelliM
- 27T. SandonD
- 44R. TalaricoM
Form going into Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus
Hellas Verona
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Benevento11 September 2026
- W5-0Arezzo6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Padova29 August 2026
- L1-2Ascoli23 August 2026
Vicenza Virtus
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Juve Stabia12 September 2026
- D2-2away to Virtus Entella6 September 2026
- L0-3away to Avellino29 August 2026
- W3-2Catanzaro21 August 2026
What these results say
- Hellas Verona scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hellas Verona failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hellas Verona conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Vicenza Virtus conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Vicenza Virtus failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Vicenza Virtus scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 16 |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus
- 1 May 2017Hellas Verona 3–2 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
- 10 December 2016Vicenza Virtus 1–0 Hellas VeronaSerie B
Leading scorers: Hellas Verona and Vicenza Virtus
Hellas Verona
GoalsAssists
- D. Mosquera70
Vicenza Virtus
GoalsAssists
- S. Merkaj31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hellas Verona beat Vicenza Virtus 2–1. The model had made a win for Hellas Verona its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Nicola Rauti 58' for Vicenza Virtus, Daniel Mosquera 74' for Hellas Verona, Daniel Mosquera 76' for Hellas Verona.
How the call on Hellas Verona v Vicenza Virtus has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 54% / 26% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 52% / 26% / 22%: the biggest move is Hellas Verona's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Hellas Verona win52%▼ −2
- Draw26%=
- Vicenza Virtus win22%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.