Amiens vs Villefranche Ligue 3 prediction & result
Final score: Amiens 3-0 Villefranche.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% Amiens, 23% draw, 19% Villefranche — fair odds of 1.72, 4.35 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Amiens at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Amiens vs Villefranche
Amiens
Ligue 3
- D1-1away to Quevilly26 September 2026
Villefranche
Ligue 3
- L1-2Versailles26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Amiens | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 20 |
| 16 | Villefranche | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Amiens beat Villefranche 3–0. The model had made a win for Amiens its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Z. Sopromadze (penalty) 71' for Amiens, M. Colin 81' for Amiens, M. Colin 87' for Amiens.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.