Cannes vs Quevilly Ligue 3 prediction & result
Final score: Cannes 3-1 Quevilly.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Cannes, 30% draw, 21% Quevilly — fair odds of 2.04, 3.33 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Cannes at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Cannes vs Quevilly
Cannes
Ligue 3
- D0-0away to Orleans26 September 2026
Quevilly
Ligue 3
- D1-1Amiens26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cannes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 | Quevilly | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Cannes beat Quevilly 3–1. The model had made a win for Cannes its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: O. Sidibe 27' for Cannes, R. Silva 44' for Quevilly, O. Sidibe 71' for Cannes, C. Ndoye 90+5' for Cannes.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.