20 September 2026, 11:30 UTC

Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Bosuilstadion
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Antwerp 0-2 Union St. Gilloise.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Antwerp, 26% draw, 48% Union St. Gilloise — fair odds of 3.85, 3.85 and 2.08.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Union St. Gilloise at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Antwerp0%Draw1%Union St. Gilloise99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Michael Frey
18'
18'
Adem Zorgane
Arthur Vermeeren
25'
51'
⚽Mateo Biondicassist: Relebohile Mofokeng
🔁Xander Dierckxout: Ibrahim Salah
58'
64'
🔁Relebohile Mofokengout: Kevin Rodriguez
64'
🔁Louis Patrisout: Denzel De Roeve
🔁Modibo Fofanaout: Snayder Porozo
66'
🔁Christopher Scottout: Carlos Mejia
66'
Bahmed Deuff
67'
Bahmed Deuff
69'
Snayder Porozo
75'
75'
Hervé Koffi
75'
🔁Besfort Zeneliout: Rob Schoofs
🔁Michael Freyout: Luis Narh
75'
🔁Luca Schelfhoutout: Mauricio Benítez
76'
78'
⚽Denzel De Roeveassist: Kevin Rodriguez
83'
🔁Guilherme Smithout: Ilan Hurtevent
83'
🔁Mateo Biondicout: Raul Florucz

Match stats — Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise

49%Possession51%
7Shots21
1On target11
1Corners7

Line-ups

Antwerp 4-4-2
  • 41T. NozawaG
  • 44M. BusiD
  • 20R. Van HeldenD
  • 3Álvaro Cortés MoyanoD
  • 28Luca SchelfhoutD
  • 48A. VermeerenM
  • 25M. FofanaM
  • 6B. DeuffM
  • 14X. DierckxM
  • 10C. ScottF
  • 9M. FreyF
Substitutes
  • 8M. BenítezM
  • 81N. DevalckeneerG
  • 5D. FoulonD
  • 99Luis NarhF
  • 33S. PorozoM
  • 7I. SalahF
  • 24T. SomersF
  • 4Y. TsunashimaM
  • 80Carlos MejiaF
Coach: Marvin Compper
Union St. Gilloise 3-1-4-2
  • 12H. KoffiG
  • 55N. HavenaarD
  • 29M. SyllaD
  • 80O. KričfalušiD
  • 6K. Van de PerreM
  • 27L. PatrisM
  • 23B. ZeneliM
  • 8A. ZorganeM
  • 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva CarvalhoM
  • 38R. MofokengF
  • 9M. BiondicF
Substitutes
  • 21D. De RoeveD
  • 30R. FloruczF
  • 25I. HurteventF
  • 18G. KavelashviliG
  • 28D. OlaruM
  • 14I. PavlićM
  • 13K. RodríguezF
  • 17R. SchoofsM
  • 4N. ChibaniD
Coach: D. Hubert

Form going into Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise

Antwerp

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Club Brugge KV13 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Standard Liege5 September 2026
  • L1-4St. Truiden30 August 2026
  • D4-4Genk22 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Kortrijk15 August 2026

Union St. Gilloise

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0away to Plzen17 September 2026
  • W5-0Lommel United12 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Charleroi5 September 2026
  • W3-0away to St. Truiden2 September 2026
  • W3-0Anderlecht30 August 2026

What these results say

  • Antwerp failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Antwerp scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Antwerp conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Union St. Gilloise won every one of these 5 matches.
  • Union St. Gilloise scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Union St. Gilloise had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Antwerp113261824-611
1Union St. Gilloise11920307+2329

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise

  • 21 February 2026Union St. Gilloise 2–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 25 July 2025Antwerp 1–1 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • 17 May 2025Antwerp 0–4 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • 29 March 2025Union St. Gilloise 5–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 8 January 2025Antwerp 5–1 Union St. GilloiseCup

Leading scorers: Antwerp and Union St. Gilloise

Antwerp

GoalsAssists

  • M. Frey40
  • S. Porozo40

Union St. Gilloise

GoalsAssists

  • R. Florucz50
  • R. Mofokeng42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Union St. Gilloise won 2–0 at Antwerp. The model had made a win for Union St. Gilloise its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Mateo Biondic 51' for Union St. Gilloise, Denzel De Roeve 78' for Union St. Gilloise. Sent off: Bahmed Deuff (Antwerp) 69'.

How the call on Antwerp v Union St. Gilloise has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 34% / 30% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 26% / 26% / 48%: the biggest move is Union St. Gilloise's chance of winning, up 12 points.

  1. Antwerp win26%▼ −8
  2. Draw26%▼ −4
  3. Union St. Gilloise win48%▲ +12

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.