Kortrijk vs SK Beveren Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Kortrijk 1-0 SK Beveren.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Kortrijk, 28% draw, 42% SK Beveren — fair odds of 3.33, 3.57 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
SK Beveren at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kortrijk vs SK Beveren
Line-ups
- 31M. IlićG
- 8N. MehssatouD
- 4Harrison Murray-CampbellD
- 21A. DrouhinD
- 5J. NdjeungoueD
- 11S. CampbellM
- 19B. DejaegereM
- 24J. RocheM
- 18J. Van LandschootM
- 90N. OgbuehiF
- 68T. AmbroseF
- 15Mohamed FofanaD
- 14Lenn De SmetF
- 1P. GunnarssonG
- 10G. KoyalipouF
- 35B. LambertM
- 71K. MasuiM
- 70A. PhillipsM
- 7S. PodgoreanuF
- 22G. RuyssenD
- 1J. SchenkG
- 21L. JansD
- 77S. KellerD
- 31B. GodeauD
- 4C. JanssensD
- 18S. DewaeleM
- 44C. CondeM
- 5C. LokesaM
- 22C. BrülsM
- 17J. MargarithaM
- 9M. KaboréF
- 25C. KonatéD
- 14L. KuavitaM
- 84J. LusambaG
- 92L. MertensF
- 48J. RobatschD
- 8F. SlegersM
- 2D. ThompsonD
- 24A. VerschuerenM
- 10G. De SchryverM
Form going into Kortrijk vs SK Beveren
Kortrijk
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to RAAL La Louvière13 September 2026
- L0-2Zulte Waregem6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Anderlecht3 September 2026
- L1-3Charleroi29 August 2026
- L0-3Antwerp15 August 2026
SK Beveren
All competitions we cover
- W2-0St. Truiden12 September 2026
- W3-0OH Leuven6 September 2026
- L0-4away to Genk28 August 2026
- L0-4away to Zulte Waregem22 August 2026
- W1-0Anderlecht16 August 2026
What these results say
- Kortrijk did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Kortrijk conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Kortrijk failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kortrijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 4 |
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kortrijk vs SK Beveren
- 11 April 2026SK Beveren 1–0 KortrijkChallenger Pro League
- 5 October 2025Kortrijk 1–3 SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
- 1 July 2023Kortrijk 0–2 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
- 1 July 2023Kortrijk 0–2 SK BeverenFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Kortrijk and SK Beveren
Kortrijk
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
SK Beveren
GoalsAssists
- C. Lokesa50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kortrijk beat SK Beveren 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for SK Beveren at 42% and given a win for Kortrijk 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Jamie Roche 52' for Kortrijk. Sent off: Johannes Schenk (SK Beveren) 32'.
How the call on Kortrijk v SK Beveren has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 42% / 30% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 30% / 28% / 42%: the biggest move is SK Beveren's chance of winning, up 14 points.
- Kortrijk win30%▼ −12
- Draw28%▼ −2
- SK Beveren win42%▲ +14
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.