20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Leeds vs Crystal Palace Premier League prediction & result

Elland Road, Leeds
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Leeds 0-0 Crystal Palace.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Leeds, 26% draw, 27% Crystal Palace — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Leeds at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Leeds6%Draw90%Crystal Palace4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Jayden Bogle
38'
45'
🔁Takehiro Tomiyasuout: Jefferson Lerma
52'
•Tyrick Mitchell
Ao Tanaka
62'
64'
Adam Wharton
🔁Jayden Bogleout: Daniel James
67'
🔁Ao Tanakaout: Brenden Aaronson
68'
🔁Noah Okaforout: Lukas Nmecha
76'
81'
Yeremy Pino
82'
🔁Yeremy Pinoout: Ismaila Sarr
82'
🔁Jörgen Strand Larsenout: Eddie Nketiah
🔁Gabriel Gudmundssonout: Jean Matteo Bahoya
90+2'
90+3'
Jefferson Lerma

Match stats — Leeds vs Crystal Palace

51%Possession49%
13Shots12
2On target4
4Corners3

Line-ups

Leeds 3-5-2
  • 1J. TraffordG
  • 24J. JustinD
  • 30N. ElvediD
  • 5T. MuharemovićD
  • 2J. BogleM
  • 18A. StachM
  • 4E. AmpaduM
  • 22A. TanakaM
  • 3G. GudmundssonM
  • 9D. Calvert-LewinF
  • 19N. OkaforF
Substitutes
  • 16M. ZettererG
  • 26M. BardD
  • 15J. BijolD
  • 8S. LongstaffM
  • 7D. JamesF
  • 11B. AaronsonM
  • 23J. BahoyaF
  • 14L. NmechaF
  • 44I. GruevM
Coach: D. Farke
Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
  • 44W. BenítezG
  • 26C. RichardsD
  • 17T. TomiyasuD
  • 6J. CanvotD
  • 25A. KhalailiM
  • 23Q. TimberM
  • 20A. WhartonM
  • 3T. MitchellM
  • 18D. KamadaM
  • 10Yeremy PinoM
  • 22J. Strand LarsenF
Substitutes
  • 31R. MatthewsG
  • 33B. ChilwellD
  • 30Óscar MinguezaD
  • 8J. LermaM
  • 28C. DoucouréM
  • 11D. McNeilF
  • 24D. OsorioM
  • 7I. SarrF
  • 9E. NketiahF
Coach: P. Sage

Form going into Leeds vs Crystal Palace

Leeds

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1Newcastle14 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Brighton5 September 2026
  • D1-1Brentford30 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Nottingham Forest22 August 2026

Crystal Palace

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0Lech Poznan17 September 2026
  • L2-3Ipswich12 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Fulham5 September 2026
  • L1-4Manchester City28 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Everton22 August 2026

What these results say

  • Leeds went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Leeds scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Leeds conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Crystal Palace scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Crystal Palace conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Crystal Palace had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Leeds10352108+214
20Crystal Palace102171024-147

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

  • 15 March 2026Crystal Palace 0–0 LeedsPremier League
  • 20 December 2025Leeds 4–1 Crystal PalacePremier League
  • 9 April 2023Leeds 1–5 Crystal PalacePremier League
  • 9 October 2022Crystal Palace 2–1 LeedsPremier League
  • 22 July 2022Crystal Palace 1–1 LeedsFriendlies Clubs

The full Leeds vs Crystal Palace record →

Leading scorers: Leeds and Crystal Palace

Leeds

GoalsAssists

  • D. Calvert-Lewin31

Crystal Palace

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Leeds and Crystal Palace drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Leeds at 47% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

How the call on Leeds v Crystal Palace has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 39% / 28% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 47% / 26% / 27%: the biggest move is Leeds's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. Leeds win47%▲ +8
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Crystal Palace win27%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.