Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Arges Pitesti 1-1 FC Botosani.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Arges Pitesti, 33% draw, 33% FC Botosani — fair odds of 2.94, 3.03 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Arges Pitesti at 34% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani
Line-ups
- 34C. CăbuzG
- 2A. TofanD
- 3L. SadriuD
- 23F. BorţaD
- 69O. AdefunyibomiM
- 26D. OanceaM
- 11Y. PîrvuM
- 22V. RaţăM
- 25Tiago GonçalvesM
- 9G. CharpentierF
- 92T. LuvamboF
- 20P. DulceaM
- 96S. BalaureD
- 7M. IdowuF
- 19C. MicovschiF
- 16I. RădescuM
- 18Daniel SanduF
- 6M. TudoseD
- 31M. SerbanG
- 14Andreas BalasaM
- 99G. AnestisG
- 2B. BayeyeD
- 4A. MironD
- 94M. DiarraD
- 73N. IlașD
- 21Lucas de VegaM
- 3C. PetroM
- 26H. OngendaM
- 8R. IdowuF
- 41A. DumiterF
- 11Z. MitrovF
- 77Gama GabrielM
- 27Ionuț Cristian GurăuG
- 44R. SadikuD
- 5R. CreţD
- 90Mario PredaF
- 67E. PapaM
- 9J. MarkovićF
- 7S. MailatF
- 22M. KovtalyukF
Form going into Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani
Arges Pitesti
- L0-1away to FC Voluntari7 September 2026
- L0-1Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Oțelul24 August 2026
- D1-1Farul Constanta14 August 2026
FC Botosani
- W5-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Farul Constanta30 August 2026
- W1-0Csikszereda24 August 2026
- L2-3away to FCSB17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Arges Pitesti | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | FC Botosani | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani
- 13 September 2026Arges Pitesti 1–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 13 December 2025Arges Pitesti 0–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 11 August 2025FC Botosani 3–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 4 December 2024Arges Pitesti 0–3 FC BotosaniCupa României
- 9 April 2023FC Botosani 1–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 29 January 2023Arges Pitesti 0–2 FC BotosaniLiga I
Leading scorers: Arges Pitesti and FC Botosani
Arges Pitesti
- R. Moldoveanu3 goals
FC Botosani
- A. Dumiter6 goals
- S. Mailat3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.