Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Arges Pitesti 1-1 FC Botosani.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Arges Pitesti, 33% draw, 33% FC Botosani — fair odds of 2.94, 3.03 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Arges Pitesti at 34%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani
Line-ups
- 34C. CăbuzG
- 2A. TofanD
- 3L. SadriuD
- 23F. BorţaD
- 69O. AdefunyibomiM
- 26D. OanceaM
- 11Y. PîrvuM
- 22V. RaţăM
- 25Tiago GonçalvesM
- 9G. CharpentierF
- 92T. LuvamboF
- 20P. DulceaM
- 96S. BalaureD
- 7M. IdowuF
- 19C. MicovschiF
- 16I. RădescuM
- 18Daniel SanduF
- 6M. TudoseD
- 31M. SerbanG
- 14Andreas BalasaM
- 99G. AnestisG
- 2B. BayeyeD
- 4A. MironD
- 94M. DiarraD
- 73N. IlașD
- 21Lucas de VegaM
- 3C. PetroM
- 26H. OngendaM
- 8R. IdowuF
- 41A. DumiterF
- 11Z. MitrovF
- 77Gama GabrielM
- 27Ionuț Cristian GurăuG
- 44R. SadikuD
- 5R. CreţD
- 90Mario PredaF
- 67E. PapaM
- 9J. MarkovićF
- 7S. MailatF
- 22M. KovtalyukF
Form going into Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani
Arges Pitesti
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to FC Voluntari7 September 2026
- L0-1Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Oțelul24 August 2026
- D1-1Farul Constanta14 August 2026
- W1-0away to Universitatea Craiova9 August 2026
FC Botosani
All competitions we cover
- W5-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Farul Constanta30 August 2026
- W1-0Csikszereda24 August 2026
- L2-3away to FCSB17 August 2026
- D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara10 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Arges Pitesti had two goals or fewer.
- Arges Pitesti failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Arges Pitesti conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Botosani kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 15 |
| 12 | FC Botosani | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani
- 13 December 2025Arges Pitesti 0–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 11 August 2025FC Botosani 3–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 4 December 2024Arges Pitesti 0–3 FC BotosaniCupa României
- 9 April 2023FC Botosani 1–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 29 January 2023Arges Pitesti 0–2 FC BotosaniLiga I
Leading scorers: Arges Pitesti and FC Botosani
Arges Pitesti
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
FC Botosani
GoalsAssists
- A. Dumiter70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Arges Pitesti and FC Botosani drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Arges Pitesti at 34% and given a draw 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Taylor Luvambo 60' for Arges Pitesti, Gabriel Gama 86' for FC Botosani. Sent off: Narcis Ilas (FC Botosani) 68'.
How the call on Arges Pitesti v FC Botosani has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 37% / 33% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 34% / 33% / 33%: the biggest move is Arges Pitesti's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Arges Pitesti win34%▼ −3
- Draw33%=
- FC Botosani win33%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.