Mallorca vs Sabadell Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Mallorca 2-0 Sabadell.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Mallorca, 28% draw, 24% Sabadell — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Mallorca at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mallorca vs Sabadell
Line-ups
- 1Arnau TenasG
- 34M. CalatayudD
- 24M. ValjentD
- 21RaílloD
- 22A. SouhmahoroD
- 8Manu MorlanesM
- 10DarderM
- 7Álex SalaM
- 19Josep CerdàF
- 18FuentesF
- 33Adrian LisoF
- 16A. BuksaF
- 13L. BergströmG
- 25Iván CuéllarG
- 2Guille FernándezM
- 4David LópezD
- 15John NwankwoD
- 29L. OrejuelaD
- 17Arnau PuigmalM
- 23Antoniu RocaF
- 1Diego FuoliG
- 7Ton RipollD
- 14Óscar SanzD
- 6Edgar GonzálezD
- 4Miki CodinaD
- 22Q. LiameedM
- 20UrriM
- 8Pere PonsM
- 10Ángel BaenaM
- 23J. PriegoF
- 16N. GioacchiniF
- 30Xavier Moreno HernándezF
- 29P. NuamahF
- 9N. ObolskiyF
- 13J. OrtegaG
- 2PipaD
- 19Y. RahmaniF
- 21Alain RibeiroM
- 12Gastón VallesF
- 25Marc VidalG
Form going into Mallorca vs Sabadell
Mallorca
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Eldense5 September 2026
- W3-0AD Ceuta FC30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Granada CF24 August 2026
- W2-0Valladolid15 August 2026
Sabadell
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Cordoba7 September 2026
- W1-0Almeria29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Castellón23 August 2026
- D0-0away to Sporting Gijon17 August 2026
What these results say
- Mallorca kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Mallorca had two goals or fewer.
- Sabadell went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Sabadell kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Sabadell had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mallorca | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 23 |
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mallorca vs Sabadell
- 26 April 2021Sabadell 1–0 MallorcaSegunda División
- 27 September 2020Mallorca 1–0 SabadellSegunda División
Leading scorers: Mallorca and Sabadell
Mallorca
GoalsAssists
- Fuentes71
Sabadell
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mallorca beat Sabadell 2–0. The model had made a win for Mallorca its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Adrian Fuentes 10' for Mallorca, Adrian Fuentes 24' for Mallorca.
How the call on Mallorca v Sabadell has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 50% / 28% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 48% / 28% / 24%: the biggest move is Mallorca's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Mallorca win48%▼ −2
- Draw28%=
- Sabadell win24%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.