Sporting Gijon vs Eldense Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Sporting Gijon 0-1 Eldense.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Sporting Gijon, 29% draw, 26% Eldense — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Sporting Gijon at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sporting Gijon vs Eldense
Line-ups
- 1Rubén YáñezG
- 2Guille RosasD
- 24Aimar DuñabeitiaD
- 15Pablo VázquezD
- 44Andrés CuencaD
- 10César GelabertM
- 6Nacho MartínM
- 14Álex CorrederaM
- 20N. IosifovM
- 16A. SarcoF
- 19J. OteroF
- 17Antonio CasasF
- 3Pablo GarcíaD
- 4E. GularteD
- 21M. LoumM
- 26Iker MartínezD
- 27Enol PrendesF
- 36B. RubioM
- 23Jorge SáenzD
- 5Diego SánchezD
- 1Ramón VilaG
- 19A. IbarrondoD
- 5Alex SerradellD
- 4F. SmandD
- 21D. RuizD
- 14J. SmithM
- 15Carlos GuiraoM
- 10FidelM
- 12Roberto LópezM
- 33Aingeru OlabarrietaM
- 11Manu NietoF
- 22J. YandaD
- 20Waldo RubioF
- 2Iker RecioD
- 7Jorge RastrojoF
- 29Dinis RodriguesF
- 13JuanpaG
- 24Javi MartínezM
- 18Guillermo MachoM
- 3Juan LariosD
Form going into Sporting Gijon vs Eldense
Sporting Gijon
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Girona5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Tenerife28 August 2026
- W1-0Burgos23 August 2026
- D0-0Sabadell17 August 2026
Eldense
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Mallorca5 September 2026
- L0-1away to Leganes29 August 2026
- D2-2Cadiz22 August 2026
- L0-3away to Almeria17 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for Sporting Gijon had two goals or fewer.
- Sporting Gijon kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Eldense did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Eldense failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Eldense conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 23 |
| 16 | Eldense | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sporting Gijon vs Eldense
- 13 April 2025Eldense 1–2 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 24 August 2024Sporting Gijon 0–0 EldenseSegunda División
- 2 June 2024Eldense 0–1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 27 November 2023Sporting Gijon 2–0 EldenseSegunda División
The result against the call
Eldense won 1–0 at Sporting Gijon. The model had leaned towards a win for Sporting Gijon at 45% and given a win for Eldense 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Javi Martínez 76' for Eldense.