Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908 Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Aris Thessalonikis 0-0 Iraklis 1908.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Aris Thessalonikis, 30% draw, 33% Iraklis 1908 — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Greek Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Aris Thessalonikis at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908
Line-ups
- 33Ricardo VelhoG
- 27N. FadigaD
- 4FabianoD
- 44B. ŠutaloD
- 3O. RichardsD
- 18M. HonglaM
- 10U. RačićM
- 7B. GarréM
- 70G. GianniotasM
- 9T. KadewereF
- 80Loren MorónF
- 24Apostolos barbopoulosG
- 19M. AlfarelaF
- 49O. BoussaidM
- 20T. Dele-BashiruM
- 5Manu GarcíaM
- 97F. JensenM
- 8C. KouaméF
- 21L. MajkićG
- 17Rafa MirF
- 33G. AthanasiadisG
- 30Carles SoriaD
- 2P. VourosD
- 21PiñaD
- 69Y. RocheD
- 31NanuD
- 11Ivi LópezM
- 90V. SourlisM
- 8N. RadojaM
- 18R. NizetM
- 43Pedro MarquesF
- 44R. LauritsenD
- 6CarlisM
- 9K. KushtaF
- 27M. KrainzM
- 7E. KoljićF
- 22K. KaïbouéD
- 1Georgios KarakasidisG
- 14J. HromadaM
- 4S. ChaklaD
Form going into Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908
Aris Thessalonikis
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to PAOK13 September 2026
- L0-5away to AEK Athens FC5 September 2026
- W2-1OFI30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Kalamata22 August 2026
Iraklis 1908
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Atromitos12 September 2026
- W2-0away to Asteras Tripolis7 September 2026
- D1-1away to Volos NFC29 August 2026
- L0-4away to AEK Athens FC22 August 2026
What these results say
- Aris Thessalonikis conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Aris Thessalonikis had three goals or more.
- Iraklis 1908 failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Iraklis 1908 scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Iraklis 1908 conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Aris Thessalonikis and Iraklis 1908
Aris Thessalonikis
GoalsAssists
- Fabiano40
- C. Kouamé30
- T. Kadewere30
Iraklis 1908
GoalsAssists
- Pedro Marques31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Aris Thessalonikis and Iraklis 1908 drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Aris Thessalonikis at 37% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on Aris Thessalonikis v Iraklis 1908 has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 44% / 30% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 37% / 30% / 33%: the biggest move is Aris Thessalonikis's chance of winning, down 7 points.
- Aris Thessalonikis win37%▼ −7
- Draw30%=
- Iraklis 1908 win33%▲ +7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.