6 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Atromitos vs Kalamata Super League 1 prediction & result

Peristeri Stadium, Athens
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Atromitos 1-1 Kalamata.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Atromitos, 25% draw, 21% Kalamata — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Atromitos at 54% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Samuel Moutoussamyassist: Cristopher Nunez
1'
38'
Stefanos Stroungis
•Samuel Moutoussamy
45+2'
45+3'
J. Cataldi
45'
🔁Julián Bonettoout: Marcelino Carreazo
52'
⚽Dimitrios Stavropoulos (OG)
🔁Cristopher Nunezout: S. Pnevmonidis
59'
🔁Georgios Tzovarasout: Panagiotis Tsantilas
60'
61'
Jovanny Bolivar
S. Pnevmonidis
63'
Lefteris Lyratzis
64'
🔁Sotiris Tsiloulisout: Serginho
70'
🔁Athanasios Karamanisout: Theocharis Tsingaras
70'
79'
🔁Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiroout: M. Bakayoko
80'
🔁Erik Hamzaout: Uros Ignjatovic
90+3'
🔁Jovanny Bolivarout: Djibril Diarra
90+4'
Djibril Diarra

Match stats — Atromitos vs Kalamata

58%Possession42%
10Shots12
2On target3
8Corners2

Line-ups

Atromitos 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. ChoutesiotisG
  • 2L. LyratzisD
  • 4D. StavrópoulosD
  • 24G. MitoglouD
  • 21J. UronenD
  • 6T. KaramanisM
  • 8S. MoutoussamyM
  • 7S. ZuberM
  • 11C. NúñezM
  • 99G. TzovarasM
  • 23S. TsiloulisF
Substitutes
  • 31V. AthanasiouG
  • 70SerginhoM
  • 88S. DiengG
  • 17E. HoxhaM
  • 30A. KotsisM
  • 32H. MagnússonD
  • 12M. MountesM
  • 16G. PapadopoulosD
  • 10S. PnevmonidisF
Coach: D. Kerkez
Kalamata 4-1-4-1
  • 1I. GeliosG
  • 22P. KaloutsikidisD
  • 4S. StroungisD
  • 97RodriguesD
  • 17Julio AlonsoD
  • 23G. PiñeiroM
  • 32J. BonettoM
  • 24E. HamzaM
  • 7J. CataldiM
  • 20A. Mendes MoreiraM
  • 9J. BolívarF
Substitutes
  • 99S. AngelisF
  • 21M. CarreazoM
  • 12I. ChatzitheodoridisD
  • 6D. DiarraM
  • 26P. GinisG
  • 44A. GuessandD
  • 29U. IgnjatovićD
  • 8Argyrios LiatsikourasM
  • 5AarónM
Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas

Form going into Atromitos vs Kalamata

Atromitos

  • L1-2PAOK30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Olympiakos Piraeus22 August 2026

Kalamata

  • L0-2away to Panetolikos29 August 2026
  • L2-3Aris Thessalonikis22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Atromitos402235-22
9Kalamata411267-14

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Atromitos vs Kalamata

  • 6 September 2026Atromitos 1–1 KalamataSuper League 1

Leading scorers: Atromitos and Kalamata

Atromitos

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Kalamata

  • E. Hamza2 goals
  • J. Bolívar2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.