7 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Wieczysta Kraków 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Wieczysta Kraków, 28% draw, 31% Zaglebie Lubin — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Wieczysta Kraków at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wieczysta Kraków0%Draw5%Zaglebie Lubin95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

39'
🔁Mateusz Grzybekout: Josip Ćorluka
45'
🔁Mihael Mlinarićout: Jakub·Sypek
45'
🔁Sebastian Kerkout: Michalis Kosidis
60'
Damian Michalski
🔁Christophe Lungoyiout: Villar
64'
70'
🔁Damian Michalskiout: David Čolina
🔁Efthymios Koulourisout: Petar Pusic
71'
🔁Antonio Milicout: Duje Dujmovic
71'
Mikkel Maigaard
80'
🔁Lisandro Semedoout: José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido
85'
🔁Lucas Piazónout: Bartosz Bialek
85'
86'
🔁Jakub Kolanout: Damian Dąbrowski
87'
⚽Aleks Lawniczakassist: Michał Nalepa
⚽Duje Dujmovicassist: Karol Fila
90+1'
90+2'
David Čolina

Match stats — Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin

67%Possession33%
22Shots12
7On target4
10Corners3

Line-ups

Wieczysta Kraków 4-3-3
  • 26N. ČavlinaG
  • 4K. FilaD
  • 24M. WieteskaD
  • 16A. MilićD
  • 33K. PestkaD
  • 12Lucas PiazónM
  • 20M. MaigaardM
  • 10T. ChristensenM
  • 7Lisandro SemedoF
  • 9E. KoulourisF
  • 88C. LungoyiF
Substitutes
  • 21B. BiałekF
  • 17K. DankowskiD
  • 19José de la RosaF
  • 15A. ĐermanovićD
  • 55D. DujmovićD
  • 11N. KneževićM
  • 8B. LedermanM
  • 23Miki VillarM
  • 1A. MikułkoG
Coach: Ž. Kopić
Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
  • 33Z. AlomerovićG
  • 13M. GrzybekD
  • 5A. ŁawniczakD
  • 25M. NalepaD
  • 4D. MichalskiD
  • 3R. YakubaD
  • 88M. MlinarićM
  • 26J. KolanM
  • 39F. KocabaM
  • 37S. KerkM
  • 44M. RegułaF
Substitutes
  • 11A. WoźniakM
  • 18F. SzymczakF
  • 7J. SypekM
  • 31I. OrlikowskiD
  • 71K. NowogońskiM
  • 19S. ŁyczkoM
  • 9M. KosidisF
  • 20M. DziewiatowskiM
  • 8D. DąbrowskiM
Coach: L. Ojrzynski

Form going into Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin

Wieczysta Kraków

  • L0-2away to Wisla Krakow29 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Cracovia Krakow21 August 2026
  • W4-3away to Piast Gliwice15 August 2026

Zaglebie Lubin

  • D0-0Pogon Szczecin29 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Radomiak Radom23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Wieczysta Kraków7115915-64
4Zaglebie Lubin8431118+315

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin

  • 7 September 2026Wieczysta Kraków 1–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Wieczysta Kraków and Zaglebie Lubin

Wieczysta Kraków

  • T. Christensen3 goals

Zaglebie Lubin

No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.