Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wieczysta Kraków 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Wieczysta Kraków, 28% draw, 31% Zaglebie Lubin — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Wieczysta Kraków at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin
Line-ups
- 26N. ČavlinaG
- 4K. FilaD
- 24M. WieteskaD
- 16A. MilićD
- 33K. PestkaD
- 12Lucas PiazónM
- 20M. MaigaardM
- 10T. ChristensenM
- 7Lisandro SemedoF
- 9E. KoulourisF
- 88C. LungoyiF
- 21B. BiałekF
- 17K. DankowskiD
- 19José de la RosaF
- 15A. ĐermanovićD
- 55D. DujmovićD
- 11N. KneževićM
- 8B. LedermanM
- 23Miki VillarM
- 1A. MikułkoG
- 33Z. AlomerovićG
- 13M. GrzybekD
- 5A. ŁawniczakD
- 25M. NalepaD
- 4D. MichalskiD
- 3R. YakubaD
- 88M. MlinarićM
- 26J. KolanM
- 39F. KocabaM
- 37S. KerkM
- 44M. RegułaF
- 11A. WoźniakM
- 18F. SzymczakF
- 7J. SypekM
- 31I. OrlikowskiD
- 71K. NowogońskiM
- 19S. ŁyczkoM
- 9M. KosidisF
- 20M. DziewiatowskiM
- 8D. DąbrowskiM
Form going into Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin
Wieczysta Kraków
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Wisla Krakow29 August 2026
- L2-3away to Cracovia Krakow21 August 2026
- W4-3away to Piast Gliwice15 August 2026
- L1-2away to GKS Katowice9 August 2026
- L1-2Lech Poznan1 August 2026
Zaglebie Lubin
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Pogon Szczecin29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Radomiak Radom23 August 2026
- W2-1Slask Wroclaw15 August 2026
- W3-2away to Raków Częstochowa9 August 2026
- L1-3away to Legia Warszawa2 August 2026
What these results say
- Wieczysta Kraków conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Wieczysta Kraków failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Wieczysta Kraków scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 8 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Wieczysta Kraków and Zaglebie Lubin
Wieczysta Kraków
GoalsAssists
- Lucas Piazón42
Zaglebie Lubin
GoalsAssists
- M. Reguła50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wieczysta Kraków and Zaglebie Lubin drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Wieczysta Kraków at 41% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Aleks Lawniczak 87' for Zaglebie Lubin, Duje Dujmovic 90+1' for Wieczysta Kraków.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.