Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Atlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red Bulls.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Atlanta United FC, 20% draw, 42% New York Red Bulls — fair odds of 2.63, 5.00 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts New York Red Bulls at 42% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
- L2-3away to Philadelphia Union1 August 2026
- L1-4away to New England Revolution25 July 2026
- D2-2away to Charlotte23 July 2026
- L0-1away to Nashville SC18 July 2026
New York Red Bulls
- W3-2Orlando City SC1 August 2026
- L0-2Charlotte25 July 2026
- L1-3away to Philadelphia Union22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls
- 11 February 2026Atlanta United FC 3–2 New York Red BullsFriendlies Clubs
- 31 May 2025New York Red Bulls 2–0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- 9 March 2025Atlanta United FC 0–0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- 5 October 2024Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- 21 September 2024New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- 24 June 2023New York Red Bulls 4–0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer