CF Montreal vs DC United Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: CF Montreal 1-1 DC United.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% CF Montreal, 21% draw, 33% DC United — fair odds of 2.17, 4.76 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CF Montreal at 46% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into CF Montreal vs DC United
CF Montreal
- D2-2New England Revolution1 August 2026
- L0-1Inter Miami25 July 2026
- L0-1away to Nashville SC23 July 2026
DC United
- D2-2Nashville SC1 August 2026
- W2-1Toronto FC25 July 2026
- D1-1away to Houston Dynamo23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: CF Montreal vs DC United
- 23 May 2026DC United 4–4 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- 16 August 2025CF Montreal 1–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- 15 March 2025DC United 0–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- 29 May 2024CF Montreal 4–2 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- 30 March 2024DC United 1–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- 26 July 2023CF Montreal 0–1 DC UnitedLeagues Cup
Leading scorers: CF Montreal and DC United
CF Montreal
- P. Owusu13 goals6 assists
DC United
- T. Baribo14 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.