Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Toronto FC, 25% draw, 36% New England Revolution — fair odds of 2.56, 4.00 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Toronto FC at 39% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Toronto FC vs New England Revolution
Toronto FC
- D1-1away to New York City FC31 July 2026
- L1-2away to DC United25 July 2026
- D0-0away to New England Revolution22 July 2026
New England Revolution
- L0-2Houston Dynamo8 August 2026
- D2-2away to CF Montreal1 August 2026
- W4-1Atlanta United FC25 July 2026
- D0-0Toronto FC22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Toronto FC vs New England Revolution
- 22 July 2026New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- 13 September 2025New England Revolution 1–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- 3 May 2025Toronto FC 0–2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- 20 April 2024Toronto FC 1–0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- 3 March 2024New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- 24 June 2023New England Revolution 2–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer