Bandırmaspor
vs
Batman Petrolspor
1. Lig prediction
Our model says: Bandırmaspor 2–1 Batman Petrolspor
The model makes it 40% Bandırmaspor, 27% draw, 33% Batman Petrolspor — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Bandırmaspor 1.49, Batman Petrolspor 1.31.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Bandırmaspor's rating is built from 52 TFF 1. Lig matches and Batman Petrolspor's from 14, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Bandırmaspor are 15th on 14 points from 14 games; Batman Petrolspor are 5th on 24 points from 14 games — 1. Lig.
- Bandırmaspor have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-4 defeat at home to Fatih Karagümrük.
- Batman Petrolspor have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Mardin 1969.
More TFF 1. Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Bandırmaspor vs Batman Petrolspor
Has the model earned this number?
Bandırmaspor at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Bandırmaspor vs Batman Petrolspor
Bandırmaspor
1. Lig
- L0-4Fatih Karagümrük8 November 2026
- L0-3away to Bursaspor31 October 2026
- L1-2Iğdır FK24 October 2026
- L1-2away to Bodrum FK17 October 2026
- D1-1Sivasspor13 October 2026
Batman Petrolspor
1. Lig
- D1-1away to Mardin 19698 November 2026
- L1-2away to Manisa F.K.31 October 2026
- W3-2Esenler Erokspor25 October 2026
- D2-2away to Kayserispor18 October 2026
- W4-2İstanbulspor14 October 2026
What these results say
- Bandırmaspor did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Bandırmaspor conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Bandırmaspor had three goals or more.
- Batman Petrolspor scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Batman Petrolspor conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Batman Petrolspor.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
1. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bandırmaspor | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 24 | +3 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Leading scorers: Bandırmaspor and Batman Petrolspor
Bandırmaspor
GoalsAssists
- G. Bruno50
Batman Petrolspor
GoalsAssists
- Pedrinho50
- M. Biron42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Batman Petrolspor (5th, with Bandırmaspor 15th), while our numbers lean to Bandırmaspor. Bandırmaspor rate 0.49 in attack and 1.43 in defence, Batman Petrolspor 0.76 and 1.87 (lower is better in defence), so Bandırmaspor have been the better side in defence on recent expected goals, which the 10-point gap in the table does not yet show. Playing at home adds the rest.
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Bandırmaspor a 0% chance of the title and Batman Petrolspor 0.8%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bandırmaspor the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.49 expected goals for Bandırmaspor against 1.31 for Batman Petrolspor. Bandırmaspor's attack/defence rating is 0.49/1.43 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.87 for Batman Petrolspor.
How the model reaches 40% for Bandırmaspor to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Bandırmaspor to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Bandırmaspor's ratings take away 4 points and Batman Petrolspor's ratings change nothing, which lands on the published 40%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Bandırmaspor's ratings40%−4
- Batman Petrolspor's ratings40%±0
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Bandırmaspor at home · Batman Petrolspor away
League matches only, 1. Lig, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. Lig matches this season: Bandırmaspor 14, Batman Petrolspor 14.
Batman Petrolspor score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Bandırmaspor have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Bandırmaspor
- at Manisa F.K.6 Dec · 1. Ligwin 29%
- vs Kayserispor13 Dec · 1. Ligwin 24%
- at Esenler Erokspor20 Dec · 1. Ligwin 21%
- at İstanbulspor10 Jan · 1. Ligwin 37%
Batman Petrolspor
- vs Keçiörengücü6 Dec · 1. Ligwin 41%
- at Ümraniyespor13 Dec · 1. Ligwin 29%
- vs Antalyaspor20 Dec · 1. Ligwin 51%
- vs Pendikspor10 Jan · 1. Ligwin 55%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.