Eyüpspor
vs
Başakşehir
Süper Lig prediction
Our model says: Eyüpspor 0–2 Başakşehir
The model makes it 15% Eyüpspor, 21% draw, 64% Başakşehir — fair odds of 6.67, 4.76 and 1.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (12%).
Expected goals: Eyüpspor 0.83, Başakşehir 2.28.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
One-sided: Başakşehir are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Eyüpspor's rating is built from 45 Süper Lig matches and Başakşehir's from 45, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 747 matches.
Key facts
- Eyüpspor are bottom on 3 points from 11 games; Başakşehir are 8th on 17 points from 11 games — Süper Lig.
- Eyüpspor have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Kocaelispor.
- Başakşehir have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Göztepe.
- Last 6 meetings: Başakşehir 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 8 February 2026, ended Eyüpspor 1–2 Başakşehir.
More Süper Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Eyüpspor vs Başakşehir
Has the model earned this number?
Başakşehir at 64%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Eyüpspor vs Başakşehir
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig
- L0-2Kocaelispor7 November 2026
- L1-5away to Amed1 November 2026
- L0-1Kasımpaşa24 October 2026
- L0-2away to Erzurumspor FK17 October 2026
- L0-4Göztepe12 October 2026
Başakşehir
Süper Lig
- W2-1away to Göztepe7 November 2026
- W5-2Samsunspor1 November 2026
- L0-2away to Beşiktaş26 October 2026
- W2-1Gaziantep FK18 October 2026
- D0-0away to Konyaspor11 October 2026
What these results say
- Eyüpspor did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Eyüpspor conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Eyüpspor failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Başakşehir conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 30 | -27 | 3 |
| 8 | Başakşehir | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Eyüpspor vs Başakşehir
- 8 February 2026Eyüpspor 1–2 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 31 August 2025Başakşehir 0–0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 31 March 2025Eyüpspor 1–3 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 27 February 2025Eyüpspor 0–0 BaşakşehirTürkiye Kupası
- 28 October 2024Başakşehir 1–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 31 July 2023Başakşehir 3–1 EyüpsporFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Eyüpspor and Başakşehir
Eyüpspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Başakşehir
GoalsAssists
- E. Shomurodov81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Eyüpspor a 0% chance of the title and Başakşehir 0.4%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Başakşehir the highest probability at 64%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.83 expected goals for Eyüpspor against 2.28 for Başakşehir. Eyüpspor's attack/defence rating is 0.47/1.66 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.04/1.06 for Başakşehir.
How the model reaches 64% for Başakşehir to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Başakşehir to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Eyüpspor's ratings add 16 points and Başakşehir's ratings add 18 points, which lands on the published 64%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Both sides at this match's level30%−1
- Eyüpspor's ratings46%+16
- Başakşehir's ratings64%+18
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Eyüpspor at home · Başakşehir away
League matches only, Süper Lig, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
EyüpsporBaşakşehir
Eyüpspor are 18th after 11 Süper Lig matches (between 14th and 18th so far); Başakşehir are 8th after 11 (between 1st and 13th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Süper Lig matches this season: Eyüpspor 11, Başakşehir 11.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Eyüpspor
- at Gençlerbirliği S.K.6 Dec · Süper Ligwin 17%
- vs Galatasaray12 Dec · Süper Ligwin 9%
- at Konyaspor19 Dec · Süper Ligwin 18%
- vs Samsunspor17 Jan · Süper Ligwin 29%
Başakşehir
- vs Fenerbahçe5 Dec · Süper Ligwin 32%
- at Rizespor13 Dec · Süper Ligwin 46%
- vs Erzurumspor FK19 Dec · Süper Ligwin 62%
- at Alanyaspor17 Jan · Süper Ligwin 49%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.