Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Baník Ostrava 1-2 Pardubice.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Baník Ostrava, 29% draw, 40% Pardubice — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Pardubice at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice
Line-ups
- 23M. JedličkaG
- 44Y. SkybaD
- 83R. NoghaD
- 42J. MíčekD
- 95D. HolzerM
- 5J. BoulaM
- 8A. TraoréM
- 34A. BeweneM
- 28F. KubalaM
- 15V. JurečkaF
- 22V. SkrkonF
- 1V. BudinskýG
- 16M. DyachukD
- 17M. FrydrychD
- 7D. GilbertM
- 81M. KmeťD
- 55Artúr MusákM
- 19F. ŠanclM
- 3Rhodri SmithD
- 46V. NeumanG
- 6M. IchaD
- 33D. HalinskýD
- 21M. TraoreD
- 15E. GodwinM
- 8S. ŠimekM
- 19M. HlavatýM
- 25R. MahutaM
- 16T. JelínekM
- 20A. TankoF
- 35S. ĎatkoF
- 90G. BotosM
- 17V. DrchalF
- 1J. ŠerákG
- 7D. SimonM
- 9D. SmékalF
- 12J. TrédlD
- 40T. BoledoviÄD
- 99Kahuan ViniciusF
- 27M. ReilD
Form going into Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice
Baník Ostrava
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to FK Jablonec9 September 2026
- L0-4away to Mlada Boleslav6 September 2026
- W1-0Sigma Olomouc29 August 2026
- W1-0Artis16 August 2026
- L1-2away to Hradec Králové9 August 2026
Pardubice
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Slovácko5 September 2026
- L1-2Artis29 August 2026
- L1-3away to Sigma Olomouc23 August 2026
- D1-1Mlada Boleslav15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Slavia Praha9 August 2026
What these results say
- Pardubice did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Pardubice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Pardubice conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 14 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice
- 13 December 2025Baník Ostrava 1–4 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 5 November 2025Pardubice 3–4 Baník OstravaCup
- 1 October 2025Pardubice 0–1 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
- 29 March 2025Baník Ostrava 5–2 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 5 March 2025Pardubice 0–2 Baník OstravaCup
The result against the call
Pardubice won 2–1 at Baník Ostrava. The model had made a win for Pardubice its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Václav Drchal 20' for Pardubice, Abdoull Tanko 54' for Pardubice, Vit Skrkon 81' for Baník Ostrava.
How the call on Baník Ostrava v Pardubice has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 38% / 31% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 31% / 29% / 40%: the biggest move is Pardubice's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Baník Ostrava win31%▼ −7
- Draw29%▼ −2
- Pardubice win40%▲ +9
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.