Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Zulte Waregem 0-1 Charleroi.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Zulte Waregem, 30% draw, 30% Charleroi — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Zulte Waregem at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi
Line-ups
- 1L. BostynG
- 49F. TangalaD
- 4L. LemoineD
- 5J. KiilerichD
- 55Y. CappelleD
- 8T. ClaesM
- 6E. LofolomoM
- 22O. NiangM
- 21Á. ZalánM
- 11M. AkéM
- 18A. EmentaF
- 90A. HemsleyF
- 23S. DiakitéD
- 13B. GabriëlG
- 20T. HedlF
- 10M. MbayeF
- 15E. MbodjiD
- 7N. MituljikićF
- 36S. UjkaM
- 53Kewan VembaF
- 30M. KonéG
- 3K. Van Den KerkhofD
- 4A. OusouD
- 95C. KeitaD
- 24M. NzitaD
- 18Y. KhalifiM
- 6A. BoukamirM
- 14P. PflückeM
- 8J. RomsaasM
- 20F. Situmona MbembaM
- 21A. ScheidlerF
- 33N. SolheidD
- 44M. SowD
- 2T. RoweD
- 13G. NawataM
- 65Mory KeraM
- 25A. ColassinF
- 19I. CisseM
- 9A. BojangF
- 1M. DelavalléeG
Form going into Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi
Zulte Waregem
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Kortrijk6 September 2026
- D2-2away to KVC Westerlo30 August 2026
- W4-0SK Beveren22 August 2026
- D0-0away to Union St. Gilloise15 August 2026
- W2-1Genk9 August 2026
Charleroi
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Union St. Gilloise5 September 2026
- W3-1away to Kortrijk29 August 2026
- W2-0KV Mechelen22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Lommel United16 August 2026
- W3-1OH Leuven9 August 2026
What these results say
- Zulte Waregem went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Zulte Waregem scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Charleroi scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Charleroi won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Zulte Waregem | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi
- 22 March 2026Zulte Waregem 1–0 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
- 20 September 2025Charleroi 1–2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 13 July 2024Charleroi 2–0 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
- 8 April 2023Charleroi 3–2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 21 August 2022Zulte Waregem 1–3 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Zulte Waregem and Charleroi
Zulte Waregem
GoalsAssists
- T. Hedl42
- Á. Zalán40
Charleroi
GoalsAssists
- A. Scheidler62
- F. Situmona Mbemba53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Charleroi won 1–0 at Zulte Waregem. The model had leaned towards a win for Zulte Waregem at 40% and given a win for Charleroi 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 29' for Charleroi.
How the call on Zulte Waregem v Charleroi has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 34% / 30% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 40% / 30% / 30%: the biggest move is Zulte Waregem's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Zulte Waregem win40%▲ +6
- Draw30%=
- Charleroi win30%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.