Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Sparta Praha 2-0 FK Jablonec.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Sparta Praha, 27% draw, 25% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sparta Praha at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec
Line-ups
- 44J. SurovčíkG
- 2M. SuchomelD
- 22L. Mbe SohD
- 6T. GuddalD
- 11M. RynešD
- 28R. MacekM
- 38H. SochurekM
- 17J. MercadoM
- 10A. KarabecM
- 7J. AlcócerM
- 14J. Braut BrunesF
- 47K. HegyiG
- 18A. IrvingM
- 31M. JurásekM
- 3P. KadeřábekD
- 27E. SinghatehM
- 15V. VitályosD
- 29M. VojtaF
- 26P. VydraM
- 30J. ZelenýD
- 1J. HanušG
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 4N. TekijaškiD
- 15D. PavlovićD
- 20J. SlámaD
- 13R. SedláčekM
- 6N. OkekeM
- 7V. TchanturishviliM
- 8F. ZorvanM
- 21M. PolidarM
- 44L. JawoF
- 27F. VechetaF
- 14D. SoučekD
- 23E. SobolD
- 9A. RůsekF
- 57F. NovákD
- 25S. NebylaM
- 33M. KukučkaG
- 22Roman HorákM
- 19J. ChramostaF
Form going into Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec
Sparta Praha
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Hradec Králové6 September 2026
- L0-3Slavia Praha30 August 2026
- W4-0away to Artis22 August 2026
- W4-1Teplice15 August 2026
- L0-3away to Lyon11 August 2026
FK Jablonec
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Baník Ostrava9 September 2026
- L1-2Slovan Liberec6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Bohemians 19052 September 2026
- L0-2away to Teplice30 August 2026
- W1-0Rangers27 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Sparta Praha had three goals or more.
- Sparta Praha conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FK Jablonec scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 24 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec
- 3 May 2026Sparta Praha 2–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
- 18 April 2026Sparta Praha 3–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga
- 19 July 2025FK Jablonec 1–1 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga
- 4 May 2025Sparta Praha 1–3 FK JablonecCzech Liga
- 15 December 2024Sparta Praha 2–1 FK JablonecCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec
Sparta Praha
GoalsAssists
- J. Braut Brunes62
- J. Mercado51
- J. Alcócer41
FK Jablonec
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sparta Praha beat FK Jablonec 2–0. The model had made a win for Sparta Praha its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Josimar Alcocer 19' for Sparta Praha, John Mercado 56' for Sparta Praha.
How the call on Sparta Praha v FK Jablonec has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 27% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 48% / 27% / 25%: the biggest move is Sparta Praha's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Sparta Praha win48%▲ +3
- Draw27%=
- FK Jablonec win25%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.