Zlin vs Hradec Králové Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zlin 1-2 Hradec Králové.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Zlin, 29% draw, 33% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Zlin at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zlin vs Hradec Králové
Line-ups
- 17S. DostálG
- 35O. KukučkaD
- 24J. ČernínD
- 39A. KřapkaD
- 22M. FukalaD
- 23M. KopečnýM
- 5K. PenkevicsM
- 8D. MachalíkM
- 82M. PišojaM
- 3Jiří ŠtefanM
- 9D. ŠmigaF
- 4T. UlbrichM
- 31L. BartošákD
- 26M. CupákM
- 11A. GažiM
- 21D. GrygeraD
- 14S. KanuF
- 34M. KnoblochG
- 45Prince Mbatshi MukubaD
- 10S. PetrutaM
- 12A. ZadražilG
- 2D. LudvíčekD
- 7J. UhrinčaťD
- 5F. ČihákD
- 25F. ČechD
- 27D. TrubačD
- 10M. van BurenM
- 16V. DaridaM
- 11S. DancákM
- 19T. SlončíkM
- 70T. ČvančaraF
- 58A. VlkanovaM
- 1P. VízekG
- 9M. ValentaM
- 20M. VágnerG
- 24A. UmarF
- 6Elione NetoM
- 3F. MielkeD
- 30J. ChvátalM
- 33Rodrigo AbajasD
Form going into Zlin vs Hradec Králové
Zlin
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Teplice6 September 2026
- L2-3away to Zbrojovka Brno29 August 2026
- L0-1Slovan Liberec22 August 2026
- L2-3away to Plzen15 August 2026
- L0-2Bohemians 19058 August 2026
Hradec Králové
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Plzen9 September 2026
- W2-1Sparta Praha6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Zbrojovka Brno2 September 2026
- L0-2away to Slovan Liberec30 August 2026
- L1-2Panathinaikos27 August 2026
What these results say
- Zlin did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zlin conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Hradec Králové failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hradec Králové conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Zlin | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 3 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zlin vs Hradec Králové
- 21 February 2026Hradec Králové 0–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 20 September 2025Zlin 1–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 16 December 2023Zlin 4–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 20 August 2023Hradec Králové 2–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 11 March 2023Zlin 2–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Zlin and Hradec Králové
Zlin
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Hradec Králové
GoalsAssists
- T. Čvančara41
- T. Slončík40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hradec Králové won 2–1 at Zlin. The model had leaned towards a win for Zlin at 38% and given a win for Hradec Králové 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: David Machalík 8' for Zlin, Tomáš Čvančara 45+1' for Hradec Králové, Tom Sloncik 46' for Hradec Králové.
How the call on Zlin v Hradec Králové has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 34% / 31% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 38% / 29% / 33%: the biggest move is Zlin's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Zlin win38%▲ +4
- Draw29%▼ −2
- Hradec Králové win33%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.