Zlin vs Hradec Králové Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zlin 1-2 Hradec Králové.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Zlin, 29% draw, 33% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zlin at 38% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zlin vs Hradec Králové
Line-ups
- 17S. DostálG
- 35O. KukučkaD
- 24J. ČernínD
- 39A. KřapkaD
- 22M. FukalaD
- 23M. KopečnýM
- 5K. PenkevicsM
- 8D. MachalíkM
- 82M. PišojaM
- 3Jiří ŠtefanM
- 9D. ŠmigaF
- 4T. UlbrichM
- 31L. BartošákD
- 26M. CupákM
- 11A. GažiM
- 21D. GrygeraD
- 14S. KanuF
- 34M. KnoblochG
- 45Prince Mbatshi MukubaD
- 10S. PetrutaM
- 12A. ZadražilG
- 2D. LudvíčekD
- 7J. UhrinčaťD
- 5F. ČihákD
- 25F. ČechD
- 27D. TrubačD
- 10M. van BurenM
- 16V. DaridaM
- 11S. DancákM
- 19T. SlončíkM
- 70T. ČvančaraF
- 58A. VlkanovaM
- 1P. VízekG
- 9M. ValentaM
- 20M. VágnerG
- 24A. UmarF
- 6Elione NetoM
- 3F. MielkeD
- 30J. ChvátalM
- 33Rodrigo AbajasD
Form going into Zlin vs Hradec Králové
Zlin
- L1-3Teplice6 September 2026
- L2-3away to Zbrojovka Brno29 August 2026
- L0-1Slovan Liberec22 August 2026
- L2-3away to Plzen15 August 2026
Hradec Králové
- D0-0Plzen9 September 2026
- W2-1Sparta Praha6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Zbrojovka Brno2 September 2026
- L0-2away to Slovan Liberec30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Zlin | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 0 |
| 6 | Hradec Králové | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zlin vs Hradec Králové
- 13 September 2026Zlin 1–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 21 February 2026Hradec Králové 0–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 20 September 2025Zlin 1–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 16 December 2023Zlin 4–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 20 August 2023Hradec Králové 2–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 11 March 2023Zlin 2–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Zlin and Hradec Králové
Zlin
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Hradec Králové
- T. Slončík3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.