Baník Ostrava vs Slavia Praha Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Baník Ostrava 0-4 Slavia Praha.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Baník Ostrava, 29% draw, 44% Slavia Praha — fair odds of 3.70, 3.45 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Slavia Praha at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Baník Ostrava vs Slavia Praha
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23Martin JedličkaG
- 44Yevgeniy SkybaD
- 37Matěj ChalušD
- 42Jiri MicekD
- 34Abdullahi BeweneM
- 83Roan NoghaM
- 8Aboubacar TraoreM
- 18David PlankaM
- 99Vlasiy SinyavskiyM
- 12Abdallah GningF
- 15Václav JurečkaF
- 55Artúr MusákM
- 7Dantaye GilbertM
- 28Filip KubalaF
- 95Daniel HolzerM
- 22Vit SkrkonF
- 1Viktor BudinskýG
- 6Karel PojeznýD
- 17Michal FrydrychD
- 81Matúš KmeťD
- 35Jakub MarkovičG
- 3Tomáš HolešD
- 4David ZimaD
- 2Štěpán ChaloupekD
- 14Samuel IsifeM
- 23Michal SadílekM
- 30Wiktor NowakM
- 15Mubarak SuleimanM
- 18Adonija OuandaF
- 13Mojmír ChytilF
- 10Danijel ŠturmF
- 6Ange N'GuessanD
- 17Lukáš ProvodM
- 20Emmanuel AyaosiM
- 26Ivan SchranzF
- 27Tomáš VlčekD
- 29Nazar DomchakG
- 12Youssoupha MbodjiD
- 33Denis HalinskýD
- 32Pavel KačorM
Form going into Baník Ostrava vs Slavia Praha
Baník Ostrava
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Zlin25 July 2026
Slavia Praha
All competitions we cover
- W5-1Slovácko26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 14 |
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 8 | +28 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Baník Ostrava vs Slavia Praha
- 5 April 2026Baník Ostrava 0–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 1 November 2025Slavia Praha 2–0 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
- 24 May 2025Slavia Praha 3–0 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
- 16 February 2025Slavia Praha 1–0 Baník OstravaCzech Liga
- 5 December 2024Baník Ostrava 0–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Baník Ostrava and Slavia Praha
Baník Ostrava
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Slavia Praha
GoalsAssists
- M. Chytil61
- E. Ayaosi53
- W. Nowak51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slavia Praha won 4–0 at Baník Ostrava. The model had made a win for Slavia Praha its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: W. Nowak 3' for Slavia Praha, D. Zima 14' for Slavia Praha, M. Sadilek 35' for Slavia Praha, E. Ayaosi 90+2' for Slavia Praha. On expected goals it finished 0.70–2.19.