Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Beitar Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Haifa.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Beitar Jerusalem, 31% draw, 29% Hapoel Haifa — fair odds of 2.50, 3.23 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Beitar Jerusalem at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa
Line-ups
- 55Miguel SilvaG
- 14R. ElimelechD
- 4B. CarabalíD
- 44L. GadraniD
- 11T. MuziD
- 30T. YosefiM
- 40B. EnowM
- 26D. WorkoM
- 77O. AtziliF
- 19S. WeissmanF
- 13E. AnsahF
- 10A. YonaM
- 5G. CohenD
- 8Z. ShimolM
- 25L. DeriD
- 9J. KaluF
- 15N. MucheM
- 22Y. OzerG
- 80Alexis SernaM
- 7Y. ShuaF
- 1Y. GerafiG
- 2N. CohenD
- 13D. ŽuparićD
- 5I. KričakD
- 77A. MendyD
- 55N. SabagM
- 8Cheick KeitaM
- 15Y. GonenM
- 10S. EliasM
- 7L. RotmanM
- 17A. TurgemanF
- 18Itay ZafraniF
- 9W. AgadaF
- 23M. AmbarG
- 21C DiakitéF
- 25G. DibaD
- 14W. HabiballaF
- 4D. MalulD
- 11I. S. FahimaM
- 12A. AyiasF
Form going into Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa
Beitar Jerusalem
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Maccabi Petah Tikva15 September 2026
- W1-0away to Bnei Sakhnin7 September 2026
- L0-3away to Hapoel Tel Aviv3 September 2026
- L1-4Maccabi Netanya29 August 2026
- W2-1away to Austria Vienna13 August 2026
Hapoel Haifa
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Bnei Sakhnin14 September 2026
- D1-1away to Maccabi Netanya7 September 2026
- D2-2away to Hapoel Beer Sheva2 September 2026
- D0-0Hapoel Tel Aviv30 August 2026
What these results say
- Beitar Jerusalem scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Beitar Jerusalem had three goals or more.
- Hapoel Haifa went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Hapoel Haifa failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hapoel Haifa scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Beitar Jerusalem | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | Hapoel Haifa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Haifa
- 31 January 2026Beitar Jerusalem 2–2 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
- 25 October 2025Hapoel Haifa 2–3 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
- 18 August 2025Beitar Jerusalem 5–0 Hapoel HaifaToto Cup Ligat Al
- 11 May 2025Hapoel Haifa 1–0 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
- 6 April 2025Beitar Jerusalem 0–1 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
- 15 February 2025Hapoel Haifa 3–2 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
Leading scorers: Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Haifa
Beitar Jerusalem
GoalsAssists
- O. Atzili33
- E. Ansah31
Hapoel Haifa
GoalsAssists
- A. Turgeman51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beitar Jerusalem beat Hapoel Haifa 2–1. The model had made a win for Beitar Jerusalem its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Eugene Ansah 11' for Beitar Jerusalem, Omer Atzili 31' for Beitar Jerusalem, William Agade 82' for Hapoel Haifa. Sent off: yaad gonen (Hapoel Haifa) 18', Brayan Carabalí (Beitar Jerusalem) 43'.
How the call on Beitar Jerusalem v Hapoel Haifa has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 36% / 37% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 40% / 31% / 29%: the biggest move is the draw, down 6 points.
- Beitar Jerusalem win40%▲ +4
- Draw31%▼ −6
- Hapoel Haifa win29%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.