19 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Maccabi Haifa 3-2 Ironi Tiberias.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Maccabi Haifa, 25% draw, 19% Ironi Tiberias — fair odds of 1.79, 4.00 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Maccabi Haifa at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Maccabi Haifa97%Draw3%Ironi Tiberias0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Andrija Novakovichassist: Pedro Brazão
6'
🔁Ali Mohamedout: Yarin Levi
27'
28'
⚽Ghanam Case
38'
🔁Chris Kouakouout: Artur Miranyan
Kenny Saief
41'
55'
•Daniel Joulani
57'
⚽Ghanam Case (pen)
58'
🔁Daniel Joulaniout: Gal Gabi Matuk
Omri Glazer
60'
⚽Kenji Gorre (pen)
63'
⚽Andrija Novakovichassist: Bruninho
69'
🔁Kenny Saiefout: Cedric
73'
🔁Noam Sztejfmanout: Pedrão
73'
🔁Kenji Gorreout: Iyad khalaili
73'
77'
🔁M. Badjieout: bar cohen
77'
🔁Guy Sankerout: Samir Farhud
77'
🔁ariel cohenout: Yarin Swisa
🔁Pedro Brazãoout: Guy Melamed
84'
Nigel Lonwijk
90+2'

Match stats — Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias

62%Possession38%
28Shots10
8On target5
6Corners2

Line-ups

Maccabi Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 55O. GlazerG
  • 25J. BatailleD
  • 21N. LonwijkD
  • 35N. SztejfmanD
  • 16K. SaiefD
  • 19E. AzoulayM
  • 4A. MuhammadM
  • 30Pedro BrazãoM
  • 10BruninhoM
  • 11K. GorréM
  • 9A. NovakovićF
Substitutes
  • 3S. GoldbergD
  • 45C. DonF
  • 90G. AlvinG
  • 29Iyad KhalailiM
  • 8Y. LeviM
  • 18G. MelamedF
  • 7Y. MordechaiM
  • 36N. RatnerD
  • 44PedrãoD
Coach: B. Bakhar
Ironi Tiberias 5-4-1
  • 22I. SharonG
  • 14G. SankerD
  • 17R. UngerD
  • 37O. BačoD
  • 13Z. MorganD
  • 47D. GolaniD
  • 23C. KouakouM
  • 8A. CohenM
  • 18E. ShamirM
  • 30M. BadjieM
  • 12Ghanam CaseF
Substitutes
  • 10B. CohenM
  • 1G. AmosG
  • 11S. FarhudF
  • 84N. GbambléM
  • 77A. YehudaF
  • 5N. ChenD
  • 19G. Ma'atukD
  • 9A. MiranyanF
  • 27Y. SwisaM
Coach: A. Ziv

Form going into Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias

Maccabi Haifa

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0away to Ironi Kiryat Shmona14 September 2026
  • W2-1Hapoel Petah Tikva5 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Maccabi Tel Aviv31 August 2026

Ironi Tiberias

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Hapoel Jerusalem15 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Maccabi Petah Tikva5 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Ironi Kiryat Shmona29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Maccabi Haifa106042120+118
14Ironi Tiberias102441014-44

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias

  • 4 August 2026Maccabi Haifa 4–2 Ironi TiberiasToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 31 January 2026Maccabi Haifa 3–2 Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al
  • 25 October 2025Ironi Tiberias 1–1 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 15 December 2024Ironi Tiberias 0–0 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 24 August 2024Maccabi Haifa 4–0 Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Maccabi Haifa and Ironi Tiberias

Maccabi Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • Bruninho45
  • A. Novaković41

Ironi Tiberias

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Maccabi Haifa beat Ironi Tiberias 3–2. The model had made a win for Maccabi Haifa its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Andrija Novakovich 6' for Maccabi Haifa, Ghanam Case 28' for Ironi Tiberias, Ghanam Case (penalty) 57' for Ironi Tiberias, Kenji Gorre (penalty) 63' for Maccabi Haifa, Andrija Novakovich 69' for Maccabi Haifa.

How the call on Maccabi Haifa v Ironi Tiberias has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 44% / 31% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 56% / 25% / 19%: the biggest move is Maccabi Haifa's chance of winning, up 12 points.

  1. Maccabi Haifa win56%▲ +12
  2. Draw25%▼ −6
  3. Ironi Tiberias win19%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.