Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Beşiktaş 6-2 Çorum FK.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Beşiktaş, 29% draw, 27% Çorum FK — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Beşiktaş at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Alexander NübelG
- 62Amir MurilloD
- 12Emmanuel AgbadouD
- 35Tiago DjalóD
- 33Rıdvan YılmazD
- 6Salih ÖzcanM
- 18Václav ČernýM
- 15Junior OlaitanM
- 10Orkun KökçüM
- 19Leandro TrossardM
- 28Dušan VlahovićF
- 29İlhan FakılıF
- 4Wilfred NdidiM
- 9Hyeon-gyu OhF
- 21Fabio MirettiM
- 17Ernest PokuF
- 80Doğan AlemdarG
- 11Kassoum OuattaraD
- 22Taylan BulutD
- 53Emirhan TopçuD
- 1Marcos FelipeG
- 11Gökhan SazdağıD
- 5Alexandre PenetraD
- 6Hrvoje SmolčićD
- 24Andrei BorzaD
- 3Berat ÖzdemirM
- 20Ylber RamadaniM
- 7Serdar GürlerM
- 10Mohammed DiomandeM
- 17Emircan GürlükM
- 19Jesús RamírezF
- 26Ermin MahmićM
- 23Cengiz ÜnderM
- 9Mame ThiamF
- 8Markus KarlsbakkM
- 16FredyM
- 18Erhan ErentürkG
- 15Arda ŞengülD
- 22Huseyin BulutD
- 21Göktan GürpüzM
Form going into Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK
Beşiktaş
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Kauno Žalgiris27 August 2026
- L0-1away to Alanyaspor23 August 2026
- W3-0Kauno Žalgiris20 August 2026
- W1-0Eyüpspor16 August 2026
- W1-0Hradec Králové13 August 2026
Çorum FK
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Kasımpaşa22 August 2026
- D2-2away to Galatasaray14 August 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Beşiktaş had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 22 |
| 9 | Çorum FK | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Beşiktaş and Çorum FK
Beşiktaş
GoalsAssists
- D. Vlahović90
Çorum FK
GoalsAssists
- C. Ramírez61
- A. Kyziridis44
- C. Ünder42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beşiktaş beat Çorum FK 6–2. The model had made a win for Beşiktaş its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: V. Cerny 9' for Beşiktaş, D. Vlahovic (penalty) 43' for Beşiktaş, M. Diomande 52' for Çorum FK, D. Vlahovic 59' for Beşiktaş, D. Vlahovic 66' for Beşiktaş, I. Fakili 73' for Beşiktaş, E. Mahmic 77' for Çorum FK, M. Murillo 83' for Beşiktaş. On expected goals it finished 2.86–0.59.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.