31 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK Süper Lig prediction & result

Besiktas Park, Istanbul
Full time6 – 2

Final score: Beşiktaş 6-2 Çorum FK.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Beşiktaş, 29% draw, 27% Çorum FK — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Beşiktaş at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Beşiktaş99%Draw1%Çorum FK0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽V. Cernyassist: E. Agbadou
9'
15'
Y. Ramadani
O. Kokcu
15'
30'
G. Sazdagi
⚽D. Vlahovic (pen)
43'
46'
🔁S. Gurlerout: C. Under
46'
🔁Y. Ramadaniout: E. Mahmic
52'
⚽M. Diomandeassist: A. Borza
⚽D. Vlahovic
59'
60'
🔁E. Gurlukout: M. Thiam
63'
J. Ramirez
63'
U. Ucar
⚽D. Vlahovic
66'
D. Vlahovic
67'
🔁D. Vlahovicout: Oh Hyeon-Gyu
71'
🔁O. Kokcuout: W. Ndidi
71'
🔁V. Cernyout: I. Fakili
71'
71'
🔁J. Ramirezout: M. Karlsbakk
71'
🔁B. Ozdemirout: Fredy
⚽I. Fakiliassist: J. Olaitan
73'
77'
⚽E. Mahmicassist: C. Under
🔁J. Olaitanout: F. Miretti
77'
⚽M. Murilloassist: I. Fakili
83'
🔁L. Trossardout: E. Poku
84'
•E. Poku
86'

Match stats — Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK

52%Possession48%
18Shots11
7On target3
8Corners6
2.86xG0.59

Goals against chances

Beşiktaş6 from 2.86 xGmore than the chances were worth
Çorum FK2 from 0.59 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Beşiktaş 4-1-4-1
  • 1Alexander NübelG
  • 62Amir MurilloD
  • 12Emmanuel AgbadouD
  • 35Tiago DjalóD
  • 33Rıdvan YılmazD
  • 6Salih ÖzcanM
  • 18Václav ČernýM
  • 15Junior OlaitanM
  • 10Orkun KökçüM
  • 19Leandro TrossardM
  • 28Dušan VlahovićF
Substitutes
  • 29İlhan FakılıF
  • 4Wilfred NdidiM
  • 9Hyeon-gyu OhF
  • 21Fabio MirettiM
  • 17Ernest PokuF
  • 80Doğan AlemdarG
  • 11Kassoum OuattaraD
  • 22Taylan BulutD
  • 53Emirhan TopçuD
Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
Çorum FK 4-2-3-1
  • 1Marcos FelipeG
  • 11Gökhan SazdağıD
  • 5Alexandre PenetraD
  • 6Hrvoje SmolčićD
  • 24Andrei BorzaD
  • 3Berat ÖzdemirM
  • 20Ylber RamadaniM
  • 7Serdar GürlerM
  • 10Mohammed DiomandeM
  • 17Emircan GürlükM
  • 19Jesús RamírezF
Substitutes
  • 26Ermin MahmićM
  • 23Cengiz ÜnderM
  • 9Mame ThiamF
  • 8Markus KarlsbakkM
  • 16FredyM
  • 18Erhan ErentürkG
  • 15Arda ŞengülD
  • 22Huseyin BulutD
  • 21Göktan GürpüzM
Coach: Tamer Sivrikaya

Form going into Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK

Beşiktaş

  • L0-1away to Alanyaspor23 August 2026
  • W1-0Eyüpspor16 August 2026

Çorum FK

  • L0-1Kasımpaşa22 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Galatasaray14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Beşiktaş5401124+812
10Çorum FK52121210+27

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK

  • 31 August 2026Beşiktaş 6–2 Çorum FKSüper Lig

Leading scorers: Beşiktaş and Çorum FK

Beşiktaş

  • D. Vlahović4 goals
  • V. Černý2 goals

Çorum FK

  • C. Ramírez3 goals1 assists
  • A. Kyziridis3 goals1 assists
  • Ermin Mahmić2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.