30 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor Süper Lig prediction & result

Istanbul
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Eyüpspor 2-1 Alanyaspor.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Eyüpspor, 30% draw, 29% Alanyaspor — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Eyüpspor at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Eyüpspor4%Draw93%Alanyaspor3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

1'
⚽A. Usluoglu
⚽A. Abdullahiassist: Z. Jules
39'
Chandrel Massanga
49'
62'
Ümit Akdağ
Talha Ülvan
66'
🔁B. Boutobbaout: Y. Barasi
66'
66'
🔁A. Usluogluout: O. Ben Ali
67'
🔁I. Kayaout: M. Elia
74'
🔁Hwang Ui-Joout: I. Hagi
🔁A. Abdullahiout: L. Pintor
76'
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
77'
🔁C. Raux Yaoout: H. Akman
81'
89'
🔁Ruanout: Y. Ozdemir
⚽Z. Jules
90'

Match stats — Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor

63%Possession37%
11Shots7
4On target2
1Corners2
1.32xG0.62

Goals against chances

Eyüpspor2 from 1.32 xGmore than the chances were worth
Alanyaspor1 from 0.62 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Eyüpspor 4-3-3
  • 31H. MoldovanG
  • 7T. UlvanD
  • 5J. El YamiqD
  • 33Z. JulesD
  • 21S. GiordanoD
  • 8D. CostaM
  • 88Massanga MatondoM
  • 15C. Raux YaoM
  • 98B. BoutobbaF
  • 29A. AbdullahiF
  • 77K. MichalakF
Substitutes
  • 1E. BilginG
  • 4A. YasarD
  • 3A. YavuzD
  • 42B. K. SatliD
  • 44O. CeyhanD
  • 18H. Akman
  • 70M. DemirF
  • 9Y. BarasiF
  • 11L. PintorF
Coach: Ozhan Pulat
Alanyaspor 3-4-3
  • 48Paulo VictorG
  • 3N. LimaD
  • 5F. AlitiD
  • 50U. AkdagD
  • 94F. HadergjonajM
  • 42G. MakoutaM
  • 55B. GezekM
  • 11RuanM
  • 16Hwang Ui-JoF
  • 17A. UsluogluF
  • 7I. KayaF
Substitutes
  • 23M. BayramG
  • 4B. OzyurtD
  • 20F. AksoyD
  • 10I. HagiM
  • 8E. KeskinM
  • 26I. CelikM
  • 88Y. OzdemirM
  • 19BikoueF
  • 12M. EliaF
Coach: Joao Pereira

Form going into Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor

Eyüpspor

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Gaziantep FK23 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Beşiktaş16 August 2026

Alanyaspor

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Beşiktaş23 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Gaziantep FK15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Eyüpspor111010330-273
13Alanyaspor11335918-912

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor

  • 31 January 2026Alanyaspor 1–3 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 25 August 2025Eyüpspor 2–1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • 19 January 2025Eyüpspor 3–0 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • 11 August 2024Alanyaspor 1–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 21 December 2022Alanyaspor 3–2 EyüpsporTürkiye Kupası

The full Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor record →

The result against the call

Eyüpspor beat Alanyaspor 2–1. The model had made a win for Eyüpspor its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Usluoglu 1' for Alanyaspor, A. Abdullahi 39' for Eyüpspor, Z. Jules 90' for Eyüpspor. On expected goals it finished 1.32–0.62.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.