30 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor Süper Lig prediction & result

Istanbul
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Eyüpspor 2-1 Alanyaspor.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Eyüpspor, 30% draw, 29% Alanyaspor — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Eyüpspor at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Eyüpspor4%Draw93%Alanyaspor3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

1'
⚽A. Usluoglu
⚽A. Abdullahiassist: Z. Jules
39'
Chandrel Massanga
49'
62'
Ümit Akdağ
Talha Ülvan
66'
🔁B. Boutobbaout: Y. Barasi
66'
66'
🔁A. Usluogluout: O. Ben Ali
67'
🔁I. Kayaout: M. Elia
74'
🔁Hwang Ui-Joout: I. Hagi
🔁A. Abdullahiout: L. Pintor
76'
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
77'
🔁C. Raux Yaoout: H. Akman
81'
89'
🔁Ruanout: Y. Ozdemir
⚽Z. Jules
90'

Match stats — Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor

63%Possession37%
11Shots7
4On target2
1Corners2
1.32xG0.62

Goals against chances

Eyüpspor2 from 1.32 xGmore than the chances were worth
Alanyaspor1 from 0.62 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Eyüpspor 4-3-3
  • 31H. MoldovanG
  • 7T. UlvanD
  • 5J. El YamiqD
  • 33Z. JulesD
  • 21S. GiordanoD
  • 8D. CostaM
  • 88Massanga MatondoM
  • 15C. Raux YaoM
  • 98B. BoutobbaF
  • 29A. AbdullahiF
  • 77K. MichalakF
Substitutes
  • 1E. BilginG
  • 4A. YasarD
  • 3A. YavuzD
  • 42B. K. SatliD
  • 44O. CeyhanD
  • 18H. Akman
  • 70M. DemirF
  • 9Y. BarasiF
  • 11L. PintorF
Coach: Ozhan Pulat
Alanyaspor 3-4-3
  • 48Paulo VictorG
  • 3N. LimaD
  • 5F. AlitiD
  • 50U. AkdagD
  • 94F. HadergjonajM
  • 42G. MakoutaM
  • 55B. GezekM
  • 11RuanM
  • 16Hwang Ui-JoF
  • 17A. UsluogluF
  • 7I. KayaF
Substitutes
  • 23M. BayramG
  • 4B. OzyurtD
  • 20F. AksoyD
  • 10I. HagiM
  • 8E. KeskinM
  • 26I. CelikM
  • 88Y. OzdemirM
  • 19BikoueF
  • 12M. EliaF
Coach: Joao Pereira

Form going into Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor

Eyüpspor

  • L0-1Gaziantep FK23 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Beşiktaş16 August 2026

Alanyaspor

  • W1-0Beşiktaş23 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Gaziantep FK15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Eyüpspor510428-63
8Alanyaspor522165+18

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor

  • 30 August 2026Eyüpspor 2–1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • 31 January 2026Alanyaspor 1–3 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 25 August 2025Eyüpspor 2–1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • 19 January 2025Eyüpspor 3–0 AlanyasporSüper Lig
  • 11 August 2024Alanyaspor 1–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 21 December 2022Alanyaspor 3–2 EyüpsporTürkiye Kupası
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.