Amed vs Trabzonspor Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Amed 2-1 Trabzonspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Amed, 28% draw, 33% Trabzonspor — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Amed at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Amed vs Trabzonspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 40Alban LafontG
- 7Ermal KrasniqiD
- 4David Robert BatesD
- 5Lumbardh DellovaD
- 17Umut MeraşD
- 18Gökhan GülM
- 22Rayan RavelosonM
- 10Samuel BalletM
- 91Dia SabaM
- 11Yira Collins SorM
- 45Mbaye DiagneF
- 99Gift OrbanF
- 21Mehmet YeşilD
- 8Furkan SoyalpM
- 33Amadou CisséD
- 27Burak BozanG
- 3Miraç AcerD
- 47Kahraman DemirtaşD
- 93Rayan LutinM
- 6Cem ÜstündagM
- 24André OnanaG
- 55Sidny Lopes CabralD
- 27Chibuike NwaiwuD
- 15Stefan SavićD
- 19Mustafa EskihellaçD
- 6FabinhoM
- 57Melih KabasakalM
- 7Ernest MuçiM
- 10Mohamed SalahM
- 70Noah SavioloM
- 30Paul OnuachuF
- 58Aral ŞimşirM
- 11Ozan TufanM
- 20Wagner PinaD
- 77Metehan MimaroğluF
- 25Onuralp ÇevikkanG
- 1Ahmet Doğan YıldırımG
- 39Cenk ÖzkaçarD
- 4Samet AkaydınD
- 14Umut NayirF
Form going into Amed vs Trabzonspor
Amed
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Kocaelispor24 August 2026
- W3-0Erzurumspor FK16 August 2026
Trabzonspor
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to Ferencvarosi TC27 August 2026
- W2-1Başakşehir23 August 2026
- L0-1Ferencvarosi TC20 August 2026
- D1-1away to Kasımpaşa15 August 2026
What these results say
- Trabzonspor conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Trabzonspor failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Amed | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 15 | +13 | 23 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Amed and Trabzonspor
Amed
GoalsAssists
- G. Orban104
- D. Sabia61
- S. Ballet41
Trabzonspor
GoalsAssists
- Mohamed Salah93
- Franculino Djú42
- E. Muçi36
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Amed beat Trabzonspor 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Amed at 39%. The goals: M. Salah 11' for Trabzonspor, Y. Sor 45+5' for Amed, G. Orban 90' for Amed. On expected goals it finished 2.39–0.84.