Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Club Queretaro 3-2 Tigres UANL.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Club Queretaro, 28% draw, 28% Tigres UANL — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Club Queretaro at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Guillermo AllisonG
- 24Bayron DuarteD
- 13Diego ReyesD
- 2Lucas AbasciaD
- 27Daniel ParraD
- 4Carlo Adriano GarcíaM
- 5Santiago HomenchenkoM
- 16Enzo GiménezM
- 11Mateo CoronelM
- 12Paulo VictorM
- 9Ali ÁvilaF
- 29Waldo MadridM
- 15Carlos VillanuevaD
- 30Mono MartínezM
- 22Jean UnjanqueM
- 1José HernándezG
- 18Erik DueñasM
- 20Alejandro AlcalaM
- 23Juan Eduardo RoblesM
- 35Juan Pablo CázaresM
- 1Nahuel GuzmánG
- 14Jesus GarzaD
- 28JoaquimD
- 23Rômulo ZwargD
- 32Vladimir LoroñaD
- 8Fernando GorriaránM
- 5César AraújoM
- 16Diego LainezM
- 11Juan BrunettaM
- 77Ozziel HerreraM
- 17Rodrigo AguirreF
- 2Francisco ReyesD
- 26Fernando OrdoñezD
- 6Juan VigónM
- 193Marcelo SalinasD
- 25Carlos RodríguezG
- 33Rafael GuerreroD
- 15Alan Javier FrancoD
- 198Isac GalvánM
- 205Antonio de María y CamposF
Form going into Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to CF Pachuca27 July 2026
- L0-1Club America19 July 2026
Tigres UANL
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Atletico San Luis26 July 2026
- L1-3away to Club Tijuana17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL
- 15 March 2026Tigres UANL 0–0 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 28 September 2025Club Queretaro 0–2 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 8 March 2025Tigres UANL 1–0 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 18 September 2024Club Queretaro 1–0 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 29 January 2024Club Queretaro 1–1 Tigres UANLLiga MX
Leading scorers: Club Queretaro and Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
GoalsAssists
- A. Ávila60
Tigres UANL
GoalsAssists
- J. Brunetta94
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club Queretaro beat Tigres UANL 3–2. The model had made a win for Club Queretaro its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Avila 11' for Club Queretaro, M. Coronel 18' for Club Queretaro, R. Aguirre 41' for Tigres UANL, J. Brunetta (penalty) 61' for Tigres UANL, S. Homenchenko (penalty) 90+12' for Club Queretaro. On expected goals it finished 2.02–2.66.