Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Slavia Sofia, 28% draw, 45% Lokomotiv Sofia — fair odds of 3.70, 3.57 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Lokomotiv Sofia at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 99Ivan AndonovG
- 87Diego FerraressoD
- 4Nikola SavićD
- 5David MalembanaD
- 26Dimitar BurovM
- 73Ivan MinchevM
- 6Boris TodorovM
- 77Emil StoevM
- 13Iliyan StefanovM
- 27Umaro BaldéF
- 88Vladimir NikolovF
- 11Mouhamed DossoM
- 7Roberto RaychevM
- 63Levi NtumbaG
- 3Martin GeorgievD
- 24Lazar MarinD
- 20Jordan Semedo VarelaD
- 71Kristiyan StoyanovM
- 23Ilian AntonovF
- 9Yoan BornosuzovF
- 99Martin VelichkovG
- 22Reyan DaskalovD
- 44Bozhidar KatsarovD
- 91Ryan BidoungaD
- 14Angel LyaskovD
- 31Krasimir StanoevM
- 5Erol DostM
- 71Nikolas PenevM
- 20Dimitar KostadinovM
- 7Spas DelevM
- 10Georgi MinchevF
- 17Mark Emilio PapazovM
- 24Aleksandar LyubenovG
- 6EirôD
- 19Mitko MitkovD
- 21Kristian ChachevM
- 16Mohamed MedfaiM
- 26Krasimir MiloshevM
- 11Adil TaouiM
- 77Caue Caruzo AlvesF
Form going into Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Arda Kardzhali24 July 2026
- D0-0CSKA Sofia20 July 2026
Lokomotiv Sofia
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Levski Sofia25 July 2026
- D1-1away to Botev Plovdiv20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia
- 18 May 2026Lokomotiv Sofia 2–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 13 March 2026Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 3 October 2025Slavia Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 10 May 2025Slavia Sofia 0–0 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
- 6 April 2025Lokomotiv Sofia 3–2 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 24 October 2024Slavia Sofia 3–2 Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League
Leading scorers: Slavia Sofia and Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
No player in First League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Lokomotiv Sofia
GoalsAssists
- S. Delev11
- D. Kostadinov10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slavia Sofia and Lokomotiv Sofia drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Lokomotiv Sofia at 45% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: N. Penev 36' for Lokomotiv Sofia, I. Minchev 42' for Slavia Sofia.