PAU vs Sochaux Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: PAU 1-1 Sochaux.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% PAU, 30% draw, 30% Sochaux — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
PAU at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — PAU vs Sochaux
Line-ups
- 1B. MaubleuG
- 2T. PouillyD
- 29G. PaquiezD
- 23A. BrianconD
- 4A. DodoteD
- 97A. AbdallahD
- 6C. FallM
- 21J. BenetM
- 5L. RajotM
- 9B. LeyeF
- 7H. BenaliF
- 30E. SallesG
- 39M. TourraineD
- 8S. BasseD
- 22R. Mimb BahengD
- 27L. GadegbekuM
- 11A. LefebvreF
- 19T. SaettelF
- 10B. BrahimiM
- 14R. Openda
- 40M. JeanninG
- 26E. N'GattaD
- 14M. PeybernesD
- 97S. AgouzoulD
- 3D. Gomis
- 21B. DiawaraM
- 23J. MassonM
- 77L. NomelM
- 5S. BaghdadiM
- 10B. FofanaM
- 9K. DjocoF
- 30A. PierreG
- 17B. YoussoufD
- 42D. TavaresD
- 15J. MexiqueM
- 8H. BayanginisaM
- 11L. DeedsonF
- 91M. ClairiciaF
- 7B. GomelF
- 33N. K. Mouyema
Form going into PAU vs Sochaux
PAU
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Rodez28 August 2026
- L0-1Nancy21 August 2026
- W1-0away to Dijon14 August 2026
- L0-1Annecy8 August 2026
Sochaux
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Clermont Foot28 August 2026
- W1-0Guingamp21 August 2026
- D0-0away to RED Star FC 9314 August 2026
- L0-3Saint Etienne8 August 2026
What these results say
- PAU failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- PAU conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for PAU had two goals or fewer.
- Sochaux failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sochaux failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sochaux kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | PAU | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 16 | Sochaux | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: PAU vs Sochaux
- 15 April 2023Sochaux 2–3 PAULigue 2
- 20 August 2022PAU 0–3 SochauxLigue 2
- 22 April 2022PAU 0–1 SochauxLigue 2
- 3 December 2021Sochaux 2–1 PAULigue 2
- 17 April 2021Sochaux 1–1 PAULigue 2
- 15 December 2020PAU 0–0 SochauxLigue 2
Leading scorers: PAU and Sochaux
PAU
GoalsAssists
- B. Leye41
Sochaux
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
PAU and Sochaux drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for PAU at 40% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: L. Rajot 29' for PAU, M. Clairicia 66' for Sochaux. Sent off: Saad Agouzoul (Sochaux) 52'.