PAU vs Sochaux Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: PAU 1-1 Sochaux.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% PAU, 30% draw, 30% Sochaux — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts PAU at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into PAU vs Sochaux
PAU
- D2-2away to Rodez28 August 2026
- L0-1Nancy21 August 2026
- W1-0away to Dijon14 August 2026
Sochaux
- D0-0away to Clermont Foot28 August 2026
- W1-0Guingamp21 August 2026
- D0-0away to RED Star FC 9314 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | PAU | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 7 | Sochaux | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: PAU vs Sochaux
- 15 April 2023Sochaux 2–3 PAULigue 2
- 20 August 2022PAU 0–3 SochauxLigue 2
- 22 April 2022PAU 0–1 SochauxLigue 2
- 3 December 2021Sochaux 2–1 PAULigue 2
- 17 April 2021Sochaux 1–1 PAULigue 2
- 15 December 2020PAU 0–0 SochauxLigue 2
Leading scorers: PAU and Sochaux
PAU
- B. Leye3 goals
Sochaux
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.