Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC Zwolle.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Sparta Rotterdam, 26% draw, 27% PEC Zwolle — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sparta Rotterdam at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle
Line-ups
- 1M. BrouwerG
- 2L. MartesD
- 3M. YoungD
- 4B. Martins IndiD
- 5B. KuipersD
- 6J. BaasM
- 8Cedric HatenboerM
- 7C. TerhoM
- 10S. MitoM
- 11M. van BergenM
- 9M. ZonneveldF
- 20F. BednarekG
- 22Joel IdehoF
- 21I. BabadiM
- 19Andrej KostićF
- 30P. KuiperG
- 14Teo QuinteroD
- 12B. ReithD
- 16A. RoaldsøyM
- 18J. ToornstraM
- 1J. SchendelaarG
- 3O. AertssenD
- 28S. GravesD
- 24N. ViergeverD
- 2S. FloranusD
- 30R. ThomasM
- 8T. SommerM
- 11D. MbayoM
- 25T. OostingM
- 22I. CissokoM
- 10K. KostonsF
- 9E. SørensenF
- 26Jadiel Pereira da GamaM
- 38G. RahajaänM
- 20G. ReizigerM
- 18O. VelanasM
- 4T. VelthuisD
- 41D. VerduinG
- 16T. de GraaffG
- 17S. van HooijdonkF
Form going into Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Excelsior29 August 2026
- D3-3Utrecht22 August 2026
- W3-1away to Telstar14 August 2026
- L0-1Feyenoord9 August 2026
PEC Zwolle
All competitions we cover
- L1-3NEC Nijmegen29 August 2026
- W2-0away to Heerenveen22 August 2026
- L1-3away to Twente16 August 2026
- L0-2Ajax9 August 2026
What these results say
- Sparta Rotterdam conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sparta Rotterdam failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sparta Rotterdam scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- PEC Zwolle failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- PEC Zwolle scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- PEC Zwolle conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle
- 8 March 2026Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- 8 November 2025PEC Zwolle 1–0 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- 15 March 2025Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- 30 November 2024PEC Zwolle 1–0 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- 4 February 2024Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
Leading scorers: Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam
GoalsAssists
- M. Zonneveld72
PEC Zwolle
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Sparta Rotterdam at 47% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ibrahim Cissoko 21' for PEC Zwolle, Milan Zonneveld 24' for Sparta Rotterdam, Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi 69' for Sparta Rotterdam, Koen Kostons 80' for PEC Zwolle.