Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv First League prediction & result
Final score: Arda Kardzhali 2-3 Botev Plovdiv.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Arda Kardzhali, 28% draw, 24% Botev Plovdiv — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Arda Kardzhali at 48% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
- W2-0Botev Vratsa31 August 2026
- W1-0away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv24 August 2026
- W3-1Lokomotiv Sofia17 August 2026
Botev Plovdiv
- L1-3Levski Sofia30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Botev Vratsa24 August 2026
- L0-2away to Ludogorets15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv
- 4 September 2026Arda Kardzhali 0–3 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 26 June 2026Botev Plovdiv 2–1 Arda KardzhaliFriendlies Clubs
- 12 May 2026Botev Plovdiv 1–2 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 26 April 2026Arda Kardzhali 0–2 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 2 December 2025Arda Kardzhali 0–0 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 4 August 2025Botev Plovdiv 0–5 Arda KardzhaliFirst League