27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Brann vs PAOK UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Brann Stadion, Bergen
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Brann 3-2 PAOK.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Brann, 25% draw, 42% PAOK — fair odds of 3.03, 4.00 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. First leg: PAOK 1–1 Brann (20 Aug) →

Brann went through 4–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

PAOK at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Brann95%Draw5%PAOK0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

37'
Tom Louchet
⚽N. Holmassist: N. Castro
45'
53'
Giannis Michailidis
⚽K. M. Ingasonassist: J. Sorensen
56'
57'
Christos Zafeiris
57'
🔁S. Shoretireout: D. Pelkas
57'
🔁B. Santamariaout: G. Taylor
Niklas Castro
59'
63'
⚽C. Ndiayeassist: D. Pelkas
68'
⚽C. Zafeirisassist: D. Chatsidis
🔁J. Soltvedtout: V. Dragsnes
69'
76'
🔁T. Louchetout: A. Baba
🔁K. M. Ingasonout: U. Mathisen
80'
🔁E. Gudmundssonout: N. Wassberg
80'
80'
🔁C. Ndiayeout: Taison
80'
🔁D. Chatsidisout: A. Mythou
84'
Dimitrios Giannoulis
⚽N. Castro (pen)
86'
Ulrik Mathisen
90+4'
90+4'
Dimitrios Pelkas

Match stats — Brann vs PAOK

6%Possession94%
9On target6
12Corners1

Line-ups

Brann 4-3-3
  • 1M. DyngelandG
  • 21D. De RoeveD
  • 3F. KnudsenD
  • 23T. PedersenD
  • 17J. SoltvedtD
  • 16K. EriksenM
  • 18J. SorensenM
  • 19E. GudmundssonM
  • 10K. M. IngasonM
  • 29N. HolmF
  • 9N. CastroF
Substitutes
  • 6D. MbackeD
  • 7K. KjartanssonM
  • 11B. FinneF
  • 12S. NilsenG
  • 14U. MathisenF
  • 20V. DragsnesD
  • 25N. WassbergM
  • 36H. M. HellesoyG
  • 39J. LaegreidF
Coach: Eirik Horneland
PAOK 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. PavlenkaG
  • 3J. KennyD
  • 4P. HatzidiakosD
  • 5G. MichailidisD
  • 13D. GiannoulisM
  • 20C. ZafeirisM
  • 7B. SantamariaM
  • 52D. ChatsidisM
  • 23T. LouchetM
  • 47S. ShoretireF
  • 27C. NdiayeF
Substitutes
  • 6A. ElustondoD
  • 10D. PelkasM
  • 11TaisonM
  • 18JogoD
  • 21A. BabaD
  • 22T. AliM
  • 25K. ThymianisD
  • 32G. TaylorD
  • 41D. MonastirlisG
Coach: Alessio Lisci

Form going into Brann vs PAOK

Brann

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to PAOK20 August 2026
  • W3-0Ham-Kam16 August 2026
  • W4-2away to Apollon Limassol11 August 2026
  • L0-1Apollon Limassol5 August 2026
  • W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026

PAOK

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0Levadiakos23 August 2026
  • D1-1Brann20 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Anderlecht13 August 2026
  • L0-1Anderlecht6 August 2026
  • W2-0Dynamo Kyiv30 July 2026

What these results say

  • Brann scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Brann conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • PAOK scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brann and PAOK in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
6BrannUEFA Europa Conference League321073+47
4PAOKSuper League 1106131913+619

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Super League 1

Head-to-head: Brann vs PAOK

  • 20 August 2026PAOK 1–1 BrannUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Leading scorers: Brann and PAOK

Brann

GoalsAssists

  • N. Holm30

PAOK

GoalsAssists

  • C. Ndiaye40
  • A. Živković35
  • D. Pelkas30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Brann beat PAOK 3–2. The model had leaned towards a win for PAOK at 42% and given a win for Brann 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: N. Holm 45' for Brann, K. M. Ingason 56' for Brann, C. Ndiaye 63' for PAOK, C. Zafeiris 68' for PAOK, N. Castro (penalty) 86' for Brann.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.