SC Freiburg vs Motherwell UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: SC Freiburg 4-1 Motherwell.
Before kick-off the model made it 77% SC Freiburg, 15% draw, 8% Motherwell — fair odds of 1.30, 6.67 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SC Freiburg at 77% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into SC Freiburg vs Motherwell
SC Freiburg
- W3-1away to Motherwell20 August 2026
Motherwell
- D0-0Falkirk9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
SC Freiburg and Motherwell in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 9 |
| 5 | Motherwell | Premiership | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Bundesliga · Premiership
Head-to-head: SC Freiburg vs Motherwell
- 20 August 2026Motherwell 1–3 SC FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: SC Freiburg and Motherwell
SC Freiburg
- I. Matanović3 goals1 assists
- Y. Suzuki3 goals
Motherwell
- Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise1 goals2 assists
- A. Lowry1 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.