SC Freiburg vs Motherwell UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: SC Freiburg 4-1 Motherwell.
Before kick-off the model made it 77% SC Freiburg, 15% draw, 8% Motherwell — fair odds of 1.30, 6.67 and 12.50.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. First leg: Motherwell 1–3 SC Freiburg (20 Aug) →
SC Freiburg went through 7–2 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
SC Freiburg at 77%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SC Freiburg vs Motherwell
Line-ups
- 1M. BackhausG
- 29P. TreuD
- 28M. GinterD
- 37M. RosenfelderD
- 30C. GunterD
- 8M. EggesteinM
- 16Y. EngelhardtM
- 22C. IrieM
- 14Y. SuzukiM
- 7D. ScherhantM
- 31I. MatanovicF
- 21F. MullerG
- 24J. HuthG
- 17L. KublerD
- 33J. MakengoD
- 43B. OgbusD
- 5A. JungD
- 3P. LienhartD
- 27B. YilmazD
- 32V. GrifoM
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 4J. Knight-LebelD
- 23E. WilsonD
- 45E. LongeloD
- 8L. FadingerM
- 11A. LowryM
- 71J. HodgeM
- 18T. MaswanhiseF
- 47S. Palmer-HouldenF
- 19I. SaidF
- 21Matty ConnellyG
- 20D. WilliamsD
- 2S. O'DonnellD
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 7T. SparrowM
- 25O. WhyteM
- 27M. BoothM
- 29Z. McAllisterM
- 9A. StamatelopoulosF
Form going into SC Freiburg vs Motherwell
SC Freiburg
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Motherwell20 August 2026
Motherwell
All competitions we cover
- L1-3SC Freiburg20 August 2026
- W2-0HJK Helsinki13 August 2026
- D0-0Falkirk9 August 2026
- D1-1away to HJK Helsinki6 August 2026
- W2-1away to Hibernian2 August 2026
What these results say
- Motherwell scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
SC Freiburg and Motherwell in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SC Freiburg | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Motherwell | Premiership | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Premiership
Head-to-head: SC Freiburg vs Motherwell
- 20 August 2026Motherwell 1–3 SC FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: SC Freiburg and Motherwell
SC Freiburg
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Motherwell
GoalsAssists
- A. Lowry31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SC Freiburg beat Motherwell 4–1. The model had made a win for SC Freiburg its most likely outcome, at 77%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: D. Scherhant 6' for SC Freiburg, E. Longelo 22' for Motherwell, I. Matanovic 60' for SC Freiburg, C. Irie 63' for SC Freiburg, K. Goto 85' for SC Freiburg. Sent off: Jake Girdwood-Reich (Motherwell) 57'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.