PAOK vs Brann UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: PAOK 1-1 Brann.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% PAOK, 22% draw, 31% Brann — fair odds of 2.13, 4.55 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: Brann v PAOK, 27 Aug →
Brann went through 4–3 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
PAOK at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — PAOK vs Brann
Line-ups
- 1J. PavlenkaG
- 3J. KennyD
- 6A. ElustondoD
- 4P. HatzidiakosD
- 13D. GiannoulisD
- 20C. ZafeirisM
- 7B. SantamariaM
- 52D. ChatsidisM
- 2M. CamaraM
- 11TaisonM
- 56A. MythouF
- 99A. TsiftsisG
- 54K. BalomenosG
- 21A. BabaD
- 25K. ThymianisD
- 18JogoD
- 97D. BataoulasD
- 32G. TaylorD
- 5G. MichailidisD
- 10D. PelkasM
- 1M. DyngelandG
- 21D. De RoeveD
- 3F. KnudsenD
- 20V. DragsnesD
- 17J. SoltvedtD
- 23T. PedersenM
- 18J. SorensenM
- 25N. WassbergM
- 16K. EriksenF
- 11B. FinneF
- 19E. GudmundssonF
- 12S. NilsenG
- 36H. M. HellesoyG
- 6D. MbackeD
- 41L. RemmemM
- 37S. VindenesM
- 43B. HaugenM
- 7K. KjartanssonM
- 39J. LaegreidF
Form going into PAOK vs Brann
PAOK
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Anderlecht13 August 2026
- L0-1Anderlecht6 August 2026
- W2-0Dynamo Kyiv30 July 2026
- W3-2away to Dynamo Kyiv23 July 2026
Brann
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Ham-Kam16 August 2026
- W4-2away to Apollon Limassol11 August 2026
- L0-1Apollon Limassol5 August 2026
- W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026
- W3-1Universitatea Cluj30 July 2026
What these results say
- PAOK scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- PAOK conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Brann won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Brann scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Brann conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
PAOK and Brann in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | PAOK | Super League 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 | Brann | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League 1 · UEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: PAOK and Brann
PAOK
GoalsAssists
- C. Ndiaye40
- A. Živković35
- D. Pelkas30
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
PAOK and Brann drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for PAOK at 47% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: K. Eriksen 57' for Brann, A. Baba 80' for PAOK.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.