PAOK vs Brann UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: PAOK 1-1 Brann.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% PAOK, 22% draw, 31% Brann — fair odds of 2.13, 4.55 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts PAOK at 47% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into PAOK vs Brann
PAOK
- L2-3away to Anderlecht13 August 2026
- L0-1Anderlecht6 August 2026
- W2-0Dynamo Kyiv30 July 2026
- W3-2away to Dynamo Kyiv23 July 2026
Brann
- W3-0Ham-Kam16 August 2026
- W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
PAOK and Brann in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PAOK | Super League 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 | Brann | Eliteserien | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 31 | +6 | 26 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League 1 · Eliteserien
Leading scorers: PAOK and Brann
PAOK
- D. Pelkas3 goals
- A. Živković2 goals2 assists
Brann
- N. Holm6 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.