KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: KuPS 1-0 Shamrock Rovers.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% KuPS, 18% draw, 21% Shamrock Rovers — fair odds of 1.64, 5.56 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts KuPS at 61% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
- L2-4Mariehamn23 August 2026
- W2-1away to Lahti16 August 2026
Shamrock Rovers
- W3-2Dundalk7 August 2026
- D0-0away to Drogheda United31 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
KuPS and Shamrock Rovers in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 29 | +17 | 56 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Veikkausliiga · Premier Division
Head-to-head: KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers
- 20 August 2026Shamrock Rovers 1–1 KuPSUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: KuPS and Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
- J. Moreno5 goals
- B. Armah3 goals
- P. Pennanen2 goals2 assists
Shamrock Rovers
- G. Burke7 goals1 assists
- M. Noonan6 goals
- J. McGovern5 goals5 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.