Brighton vs Tromso UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Brighton 4-0 Tromso.
Before kick-off the model made it 74% Brighton, 17% draw, 9% Tromso — fair odds of 1.35, 5.88 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. First leg: Tromso 0–0 Brighton (20 Aug) →
Brighton went through 4–0 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Brighton at 74%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brighton vs Tromso
Line-ups
- 1B. VerbruggenG
- 27M. WiefferD
- 44L. VuskovicD
- 5L. DunkD
- 21O. BoscagliD
- 33M. O'RileyM
- 26Y. AyariM
- 13P. GrossM
- 25D. GomezF
- 19C. KostoulasF
- 29M. De CuyperF
- 23J. SteeleG
- 38T. McGillG
- 20CostinhaD
- 41F. SimmondsD
- 24F. KadiogluD
- 4P. StruijkD
- 35M. YalcouyeM
- 43J. Robertson
- 50S. NtiM
- 1J. HaugaardG
- 17I. DahlqvistD
- 30I. VadebuD
- 4V. SkjaervikD
- 3M. TonnessenD
- 29A. Thongla-Iad WarnerydD
- 5D. EdvardssonM
- 11R. JenssenM
- 8J. GrundtM
- 10T. NyhammerF
- 22H. LarsenF
- 12O. LauvliG
- 32A. SarrG
- 2L. CornicD
- 25C. OyvannD
- 21L. HienF
- 27M. MikkelsenM
- 37S. InnvaerM
- 24V. OsujiD
- 7L. O. LarsenF
Form going into Brighton vs Tromso
Brighton
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Aston Villa23 August 2026
- D0-0away to Tromso20 August 2026
Tromso
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Brighton20 August 2026
- L2-3away to Molde16 August 2026
- W2-1CFR 1907 Cluj13 August 2026
- W5-0away to CFR 1907 Cluj6 August 2026
- W6-2away to Aalesund2 August 2026
What these results say
- Tromso scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Tromso had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brighton and Tromso in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brighton | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Tromso | Eliteserien | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 40 | +3 | 40 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Eliteserien
Head-to-head: Brighton vs Tromso
- 20 August 2026Tromso 0–0 BrightonUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Brighton and Tromso
Brighton
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Tromso
GoalsAssists
- H. Larsen104
- J. Hjertø-Dahl72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Brighton beat Tromso 4–0. The model had made a win for Brighton its most likely outcome, at 74%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: C. Kostoulas 22' for Brighton, M. De Cuyper 33' for Brighton, M. Wieffer 38' for Brighton, O. Boscagli 86' for Brighton.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.