Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-2 Atletico Tucuman.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 27% draw, 33% Atletico Tucuman — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Central Cordoba de Santiago at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Javier VallejosG
- 33Santiago MoyanoD
- 2Alejandro MacielD
- 6Facundo MansillaD
- 20Fernando MartínezD
- 22Matías VeraM
- 11Horacio TijanovichM
- 10Marco IacobellisM
- 18Lucas GonzálezM
- 7Diego BarreraM
- 9Lucas VaraldoF
- 5Tiago CraveroM
- 13José GomézD
- 19Ezequiel NayaF
- 30Federico RodriguezM
- 12Máximo ÁlvarezG
- 3Leonardo MarchiD
- 42Juan Pablo PignaniD
- 17Yuri CasermeiroD
- 55Juan CardozoM
- 1Luis IngolottiG
- 3Maximiliano VillaD
- 26Clever FerreiraD
- 36Luciano VallejoD
- 21Ignacio GalvánD
- 31Lautaro Agustin GodoyM
- 19Leonel VegaM
- 10Franco NicolaM
- 11Renzo TesuriF
- 9Leandro DíazF
- 18Ramiro Ruiz RodríguezF
- 28Gabriel CompagnucciD
- 45Kevin OrtízM
- 27Rodrigo GranilloF
- 5Julián FernándezM
- 30Manuel BrondoF
- 25Tomás DursoG
- 6Gianluca FerrariD
- 4Tomás JungD
- 24Leonel Di PlácidoD
Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman
Central Cordoba de Santiago
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Gimnasia Mendoza24 July 2026
Atletico Tucuman
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Independiente Rivadavia26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 11 |
| 11 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman
- 28 January 2026Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 19 July 2025Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 31 January 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–0 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17 December 2024Atletico Tucuman 2–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 February 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–0 Atletico TucumanCopa de la Liga Profesional
The full Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman record →
Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and Atletico Tucuman
Central Cordoba de Santiago
GoalsAssists
- M. Santos92
Atletico Tucuman
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Atletico Tucuman won 2–0 at Central Cordoba de Santiago. The model had leaned towards a win for Central Cordoba de Santiago at 40% and given a win for Atletico Tucuman 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: L. Diaz 63' for Atletico Tucuman, L. Diaz 90+2' for Atletico Tucuman. On expected goals it finished 0.41–0.67.