Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Central Cordoba de Santiago 1-0 San Lorenzo.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 26% draw, 32% San Lorenzo — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Central Cordoba de Santiago at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Javier VallejosG
- 33Santiago MoyanoD
- 2Alejandro MacielD
- 6Facundo MansillaD
- 20Fernando MartínezD
- 22Matías VeraM
- 11Horacio TijanovichM
- 10Marco IacobellisM
- 18Lucas GonzálezM
- 7Diego BarreraM
- 27Michael SantosF
- 9Lucas VaraldoF
- 17Yuri CasermeiroD
- 3Leonardo MarchiD
- 5Tiago CraveroM
- 55Juan CardozoM
- 12Máximo ÁlvarezG
- 13José GomézD
- 30Federico RodriguezM
- 37Alan LapridaF
- 12Orlando GillG
- 30Nahuel AriasD
- 19Emiliano AmorD
- 35Alejo CordobaD
- 6Mathias de RitisD
- 22Juan ÁlvarezM
- 24Nicolás TripichioM
- 13Juan RattalinoM
- 11Matias RealiM
- 29Rodrigo AuzmendiF
- 9Alexis CuelloF
- 21Gustavo del PreteF
- 15Mauricio CardilloM
- 18Diego HerazoF
- 10Facundo GulliM
- 25José DevecchiG
- 16Guzmán CorujoD
- 42Franco LorenzonD
- 3Teo Rodríguez PaganoD
- 14Agustin LadstatterF
Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Atletico Tucuman31 July 2026
- L0-1away to Gimnasia Mendoza24 July 2026
San Lorenzo
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza28 July 2026
- L0-1away to Lanus26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 11 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo
- 31 January 2026San Lorenzo 1–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 23 November 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 1 November 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–1 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 April 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–0 San LorenzoCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 27 November 2023San Lorenzo 2–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional
The full Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo record →
Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
GoalsAssists
- M. Santos92
San Lorenzo
GoalsAssists
- R. Auzmendi72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Central Cordoba de Santiago beat San Lorenzo 1–0. The model had made a win for Central Cordoba de Santiago its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: M. Santos 31' for Central Cordoba de Santiago. On expected goals it finished 0.82–0.72.